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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AndreasSchmHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)100% (4–0, n=4)53% (494–432, n=926)48% (575–620, n=1195)54% (441–371, n=812)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$353K$498K$325K
Tracked asPM monthly #724PM monthly #8PM monthly #17PM monthly #148
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 14 open)68% (138 of 203 open)54% (58 of 107 open)56% (101 of 179 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

59 on the same side, 73 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAndreasSchmHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $23KAvalanche $2.5KAvalanche $8.1K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $6.8KArkansas $1.3K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KOver $12KUnder $134
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
—Boise State $11KBoise State $590Oregon State $2.4K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $8.6KOver $952
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—North Carolina $3.1KLouisville $993North Carolina $8.4K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.6KOver $5.6KOver $777
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $1.1KWild $10KBruins $6
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.1K
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $5Pelicans $9.6KNuggets $565
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.4KVirginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.6KBulls $844
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.4KOver $4.3KOver $455
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $252Pistons $5.7KHeat $782
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $120Under $2.7KOver $770
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Rice $370Tulane $457Rice $2.7K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.4KHawai'i $1.6KNorth Dakota State $85
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $524Over $881Under $1.0K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $199Islanders $214
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $619Over $817Over $696
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $19Kentucky $1.1KFlorida $298
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Auburn $6Mississippi State $5Auburn $58
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $21KGrizzlies $209Grizzlies $32K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.2KOver $15KOver $521
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $3.0KMaple Leafs $5.5KMaple Leafs $4.7K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $5.2KHeat $4.7KHeat $3.2K
Spread: Washington (-3.5)
same side · consensus Michigan State
—Michigan State $12KMichigan State $10Michigan State $608
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
—Air Force $184Air Force $12KAir Force $145
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $45Under $1.5KUnder $2.9K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $887Over $489
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $25KBlues $199
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $19K—Nuggets $381
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $12KPelicans $2.9K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $336Texas $15K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
——Kentucky $11KFlorida $4.6K
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Air Force
—Air Force $5San Jose State $15K—
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $206—Under $14K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K—
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $11KDucks $563
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $1.6KHeat $9.8K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9.6KUnder $1.1K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7K—Over $6.4K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $8.8K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $6.2K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.9KUnder $6.6K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.1KOver $117—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7K—Over $3.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $3.8K