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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AltMind | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (30–25, n=55) | 71% (2970–1233, n=4203) | 52% (591–550, n=1141) | 53% (532–472, n=1004) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $533K | $385K | $635K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #883 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 47% (112 of 240 open) | 61% (91 of 149 open) | 53% (58 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 12% (won 45% of 89) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
49 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AltMind | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | 49ers $25K | 49ers $62K |
| Spread: Bills (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Bills $6.7K | — | Jets $2.1K | Bills $7.8K |
| Texans vs. Browns opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Browns $14 | Texans $11K | Browns $1.5K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $28 | Under $4.4K | Under $529 |
| Pacers vs. 76ers same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $5.8K | 76ers $36K | 76ers $2.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $53 | Colts $2.4K | Colts $1.3K |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Pepperdine Waves $150K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $12K | Packers $38K |
| Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $13K | — | Yes $4.4K |
| Spread: France (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Türkiye | — | France $11K | — | Türkiye $55 |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Bills $5.5K | Jets $5.2K |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.3K | — | Over $5.0K |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.2K | Over $2.2K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | — | Vikings $7.8K | Packers $399 |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $397 | — | Packers $7.1K |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | — | Rams $5.7K | Cardinals $199 |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $867 | — | Over $4.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Mavericks $147 | Celtics $4.5K | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | — | Over $937 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.0K | Under $1.4K |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $628 | Over $3.2K | — |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.4K | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.5K | — | Yes $498 |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $45 | Over $1.9K | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $842 | — | Oklahoma $694 |
| Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers opposite sides · consensus La Salle Explorers | — | Temple Owls $78 | La Salle Explorers $745 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Bucks $163 | Hawks $532 | — |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | — | Packers $528 | Vikings $4 |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $323 | Under $146 | — |
| Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers opposite sides · consensus Air Force Falcons | — | Air Force Falcons $18 | — | Pacific Tigers $273 |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $183 | Jazz $70 | — |
| Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2 | Under $40 | — |
| Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-29.5) opposite sides · consensus Wisconsin Badgers | — | Wisconsin Badgers $4 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $9 | — |
| Bills vs. Jets same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $29K | Bills $122K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $4.3K | Jaguars $80K |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | — | Saints $38K | Saints $20 |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.8K | Under $27K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $620 | Seahawks $20K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $11 | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $2.5K | Browns $12K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $12K | Under $2.3K |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $153 | — | Mavericks $9.2K |
| Will Spain win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $4.1K | — | Yes $4.8K |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | — | Dolphins $6.5K | Dolphins $2.1K |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.3K | — | Under $9 |
| Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.5K | Under $2.8K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.0K | Under $230 |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $245 | Pacers $5.3K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-18.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $4 | Spurs $5.4K | — |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $4.9K | Packers $63 |