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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindBreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)56% (61–47, n=108)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)47% (692–767, n=1459)
Consensus PnL$20K$770K$533K$865K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)53% (16 of 30 open)47% (112 of 240 open)63% (94 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=612—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—0%41% (won 6% of 540)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 322)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)11% (won 62% of 152)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 319)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindBreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $942KFalcons $87Falcons $16K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $75KColts $53Dolphins $39K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $78KCowboys $1549ers $23K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $122K—Jaguars $10K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $76K—Falcons $22K
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $84K76ers $5.8K—
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $71K—Falcons $14
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.3KOver $28K
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $31KYes $801
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.6KOver $7.1K
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $6.9K—Dolphins $2.7K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Raptors $90Knicks $9.4K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Lakers $398Suns $8.9K
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Czechia
——Croatia $222Czechia $8.2K
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Panthers $5.1K——Saints $2.6K
Spread: Panthers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $5.2K——Saints $1.7K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $374Jazz $5.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $40—Jaguars $3.8K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $24576ers $2.4K
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
——Louisville Cardinals $442Memphis Tigers $1.3K
Aquila Basket Trento vs. Virtus Bologna
opposite sides · consensus Virtus Bologna
——Virtus Bologna $1.2KAquila Basket Trento $5
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
——Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $13
Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid
——Real Madrid $1.1KKosner Baskonia $62
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3Over $950
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $887Under $17
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $272—Dolphins $531
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $85Pacers $507
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $439
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $100Pacers $182
Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $80No $120
Drummondville: Jared Horwood vs Jannik Opitz
opposite sides · consensus Jannik Opitz
——Jannik Opitz $51Jared Horwood $2
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $1.1MVikings $397—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $204K—Vikings $21K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $132K—Colts $17K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $37K—Cowboys $3.3K
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
——France $11KFrance $14K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $620Seahawks $19K
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
——Elina Svitolina $1.4KElina Svitolina $16K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
——Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——No $9.4KNo $629
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K——Bills $1.7K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $125Suns $6.0K
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $583Under $4.1K
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.3KUnder $57
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $171Under $3.7K
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
same side · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
——Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $1.1KNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $2.6K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $2.9K——Bills $490
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $8Over $3.3K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $1.9KPacers $220