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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 95de | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (7–5, n=12) | 74% (1443–503, n=1946) | 53% (307–269, n=576) |
| Consensus PnL | -$469 | $298K | $308K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 62% (175 of 284 open) | 68% (104 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −3 pts, n=123 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 32% (won 5% of 159) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 24% (won 43% of 119) | 30% (won 100% of 49) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 14% (won 61% of 70) | 62% (won 100% of 101) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 29% (won 95% of 142) | 8% (won 100% of 13) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 95de | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $3.8K | Mavericks $6.4K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.0K | Under $7.6K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $5.7K | Mavericks $68 |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $36 | Over $4.4K |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Sabres | — | Sabres $143 | Blackhawks $3.3K |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $294 | 76ers $3.1K |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | 76ers $2.9K | Raptors $21 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.8K | Under $1.1K |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Wild $1.8K | Maple Leafs $526 |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $277 | Wizards $2.0K |
| Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners | — | Western Illinois Leathernecks $16 | Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K |
| Spread: UTEP Miners (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners | — | New Mexico State Aggies $79 | UTEP Miners $1.4K |
| Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Mercer Bears | — | West Virginia Mountaineers $96 | Mercer Bears $1.1K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Mavericks $684 | Timberwolves $6 |
| Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys | — | Oklahoma State Cowboys $114 | Texas A&M Aggies $382 |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $93 | Over $21 |
| Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners | — | UTEP Miners $99 | New Mexico State Aggies $3 |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $59 | Over $13 |
| Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams | — | Rhode Island Rams $4 | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15 |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $3.8K | Wizards $49K |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.9K | Over $48K |
| Raptors vs. 76ers same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $1.5K | 76ers $37K |
| Jets vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | — | Stars $458 | Stars $10K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $7.5K | Timberwolves $74 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $28 | Over $6.7K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $6 | Vikings $6.5K |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.3K | Over $332 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $2.0K | Pistons $2.6K |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $45 | Under $4.3K |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | Over $2.8K |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $85 | Hornets $3.6K |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.4K | Over $52 |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $50 | Under $3.0K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $40 | Over $2.0K |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.4K | Over $494 |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | Over $4 |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $169 | Falcons $1.2K |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $531 | Under $823 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $39 | Under $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $873 | Over $229 |
| Spread: Richmond Spiders (-2.5) same side · consensus Southern Illinois Salukis | — | Southern Illinois Salukis $2 | Southern Illinois Salukis $1.0K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $708 | Over $15 |
| Canadiens vs. Bruins same side · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $263 | Canadiens $385 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $431 | Timberwolves $202 |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies | — | Texas A&M Aggies $446 | Texas A&M Aggies $43 |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $216 | Raptors $132 |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $342 | Under $1 |
| Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 153.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $14 | Under $326 |