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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
95deFlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)58% (7–5, n=12)74% (1443–503, n=1946)50% (6–6, n=12)53% (307–269, n=576)
Consensus PnL-$469$298K$423K$308K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #45PM monthly #17PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (172 of 277 open)no open consensus position67% (100 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—College Basketball −3 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won—48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—32% (won 5% of 159)0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 43% of 119)17% (won 100% of 1)30% (won 100% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 61% of 70)83% (won 100% of 5)62% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 95% of 142)0%8% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market95deFlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $3.8K—Mavericks $6.4K
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Avalanche $260—Senators $9.4K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Under $7.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $5.7K—Mavericks $68
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $628—Over $4.1K
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $43—Over $4.4K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Sabres $143—Blackhawks $3.3K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $294—76ers $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—76ers $2.9K—Raptors $21
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8K—Under $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Suns $620—Hornets $1.8K
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $1.8K—Maple Leafs $526
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $277—Wizards $2.0K
Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
—Western Illinois Leathernecks $16—Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $684—Timberwolves $6
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys
—Oklahoma State Cowboys $114—Texas A&M Aggies $382
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $102—Over $21
Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
—UTEP Miners $99—New Mexico State Aggies $3
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $64—Over $13
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams
—Rhode Island Rams $4—Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $3.6K—Wizards $49K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7K—Over $48K
Raptors vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $1.6K—76ers $37K
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $405—Stars $10K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $7.5K—Timberwolves $74
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $6—Vikings $6.5K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $3.3K—Pistons $2.6K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.3K—Over $332
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $45—Under $4.3K
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $536—Hornets $3.6K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4K—Over $52
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $49—Under $3.0K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $40—Over $2.0K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $169—Falcons $1.2K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $910—Over $229
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $1.1K
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7—Under $1.0K
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Southern Illinois Salukis
—Southern Illinois Salukis $2—Southern Illinois Salukis $1.0K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $708—Over $15
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $263—Canadiens $385
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $431—Timberwolves $202
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $597—Under $1
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies
same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies
—Texas A&M Aggies $446—Texas A&M Aggies $43
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $263—Raptors $132
Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 153.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $33—Under $326
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39—Under $297
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies
—Texas A&M Aggies $30—Texas A&M Aggies $130
Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-1.5)
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
—South Alabama Jaguars $121—South Alabama Jaguars $35
Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 152.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3—Under $93