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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-176631754118895deFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)62% (8–5, n=13)58% (7–5, n=12)74% (1443–503, n=1946)53% (307–269, n=576)
Consensus PnL$624K-$469$298K$308K
Tracked asPM monthly #36was PM monthly #993PM monthly #45PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)no open consensus position61% (170 of 280 open)67% (94 of 141 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −3 pts, n=123—
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢0%—32% (won 5% of 159)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 3)—24% (won 43% of 119)30% (won 100% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 100% of 5)—14% (won 61% of 70)62% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—29% (won 95% of 142)8% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-176631754118895deFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $186K—Suns $634Hornets $1.8K
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Pistons $48K—Wizards $4.2KWizards $49K
Jets vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Jets $31K—Stars $338Stars $10K
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $12K—Pistons $277Wizards $2.0K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.3K—Under $45Under $4.3K
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $3.8KMavericks $6.4K
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
——Avalanche $412Senators $9.4K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KUnder $7.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $5.7KMavericks $68
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $676Over $4.1K
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $43Over $4.4K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
——Sabres $143Blackhawks $3.3K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $29476ers $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——76ers $3.1KRaptors $21
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Wild $1.8KMaple Leafs $526
Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
——Western Illinois Leathernecks $16Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Mavericks $684Timberwolves $6
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys
——Oklahoma State Cowboys $114Texas A&M Aggies $382
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $114Over $21
Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
——UTEP Miners $99New Mexico State Aggies $3
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $64Over $13
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2Over $24
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams
——Rhode Island Rams $4Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $12Hornets $7.6K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $7.5KTimberwolves $74
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $6Vikings $6.5K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $3.7KPistons $2.6K
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $620Hornets $3.6K
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $49Under $3.0K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies
same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies
——Texas A&M Aggies $1.1KTexas A&M Aggies $43
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7Under $1.0K
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Southern Illinois Salukis
——Southern Illinois Salukis $2Southern Illinois Salukis $1.0K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $708Over $15
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $263Canadiens $385
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $431Timberwolves $202
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $597Under $1
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——Raptors $263Raptors $132
Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 153.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $31Under $326
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $39Under $297
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies
——Texas A&M Aggies $30Texas A&M Aggies $130
Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-1.5)
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
——South Alabama Jaguars $121South Alabama Jaguars $35
Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 152.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3Under $93
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $47Under $36
Spread: Alabama A&M Bulldogs (-7.5)
same side · consensus West Florida Argonauts
——Alabama A&M Bulldogs $45Alabama A&M Bulldogs $4
West Florida Argonauts vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs
same side · consensus Alabama A&M Bulldogs
——West Florida Argonauts $3West Florida Argonauts $10
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2Over $7