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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfe1AC268Ff0710dC220792689a5c7dC1f701A67f-1791058278212keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)100% (11–0, n=11)48% (600–648, n=1248)81% (22–5, n=27)54% (455–392, n=847)
Consensus PnL$15K$512K$328K$324K
Tracked asPM monthly #703PM monthly #18PM monthly #114PM monthly #129
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (51 of 101 open)100% (1 of 1 open)51% (75 of 146 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfe1AC268Ff0710dC220792689a5c7dC1f701A67f-1791058278212keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $14K—Bulls $31K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $21K—Utah $14K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $26K—Under $1.7K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $24K—Under $125
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $9.3K—Amanda Nunes $5.0K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $11K—Arizona $2.2K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Under $63
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $11K—Ducks $573
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $7.8K—UNLV $227
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Luis Gurule
—Bilal Hasan $7.9K—Luis Gurule $80
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—Louisville $2.0K—North Carolina $5.7K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.3K—Under $290
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $3.1K—Stanford $4.3K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.2K—Heat $915
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $2—Heat $5.2K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $3.1K—Bulls $1.4K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—South Carolina $2.6K—Arkansas $1.5K
Purdue vs. Iowa
opposite sides · consensus Iowa
—Purdue $3—Iowa $1.8K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $195—Ducks $903
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—LSU $24—Texas $230
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $11—Bulls $66
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $63K—Bulls $207K
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $9.3K—Stars $96K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $33K—Grizzlies $70K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $291—Grizzlies $33K
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus UNLV
—New Mexico $32K—New Mexico $281
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $20K—Over $482
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $16K—Under $4.2K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $8.1K—Heat $11K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $18K—Texas $98
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15K—Over $521
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $11K—Arkansas $4.1K
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
—Air Force $14K—Air Force $167
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
—North Texas $10K—North Texas $2.0K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $6.0K—Nets $5.8K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.6K—Over $1.6K
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
—Kevin Holland $1.9K—Kevin Holland $5.7K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $3.2K—Virginia Tech $1.3K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.0K—Over $942
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $3.4K—Nets $80
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $970—Under $1.3K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3—Over $1.9K
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $170—Over $1.7K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9—Under $1.3K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5—Under $1.2K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $447—Over $160
Purdue vs. Iowa: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $332—Under $146
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $27—Nets $412
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $50—Under $344
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $9—Heat $363