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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfe1AC268Ff0710dC220792689a5c7dC1f701A67f-1791058278212fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)100% (11–0, n=11)52% (16–15, n=31)53% (516–456, n=972)54% (455–392, n=847)
Consensus PnL$15K$795K$362K$324K
Tracked asPM monthly #703PM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #129
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position64% (97 of 152 open)51% (76 of 148 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xfe1AC268Ff0710dC220792689a5c7dC1f701A67f-1791058278212fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $14KOver $2.4K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.7KOver $6.2K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $4.0KHeat $5.2K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $5.7KUnder $2.9K
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $8.1KMavericks $78
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $4.1K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.2KOver $1.9K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $1.0KStanford $4.3K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.6KOver $1.6K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $3.9KVirginia Tech $1.3K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $867Under $4.2K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.4KUnder $361
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.4KOver $942
Spread: South Carolina (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——South Carolina $2.7KArkansas $1.0K
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $1.9KWyoming $664
Spread: New Mexico (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $1.8KUNLV $695
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.2KOver $265
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $572Under $1.3K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $1.4KNorth Dakota State $378
Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
——Virginia Tech $531Stanford $877
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $850UNLV $227
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
——LSU $199Texas $653
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $199Heat $363
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Air Force
——Air Force $8San Jose State $552
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
——North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219Montana Grizzlies $170
Rockets vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Wizards $22Rockets $78
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $83KGrizzlies $70K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $25KGrizzlies $33K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $9.1KBulls $31K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Nets $9.1KNets $10K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $6.0KHeat $11K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $16KNets $80
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13KOver $1.7K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
——Utah $231Utah $14K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.1K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.7KOver $7.1K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $8.4KUnder $1.7K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9.2KOver $521
Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
——Bulls $8.8KBulls $37
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Heat $7.4KHeat $915
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
——Flames $2.2KFlames $6.1K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $403Under $7.5K
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.1KUnder $4.8K
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
same side · consensus North Carolina
——North Carolina $2.1KNorth Carolina $5.7K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KUnder $3.4K
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $129Over $6.3K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texas
——Texas $5.7KTexas $230
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.1KUnder $290
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KUnder $63