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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 53% (494–432, n=926) | 48% (575–620, n=1195) | 81% (22–5, n=27) |
| Consensus PnL | $849 | $353K | $498K | $328K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #164 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 66% (136 of 205 open) | 56% (62 of 110 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 13% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 21% (won 80% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 63% (won 100% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $468 | Cavaliers $13K | Cavaliers $9.8K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $23K | Avalanche $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Washington (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $12K | Washington $5.6K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus LSU | — | LSU $336 | Texas $15K | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus San Jose State | — | Air Force $5 | San Jose State $15K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | Over $12K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $7.4K | Arkansas $6.8K | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $8.4K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.6K | Over $5.6K | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Bruins $1.1K | Wild $10K | — |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $9.6K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | — | Blue Jackets $826 | Flyers $8.8K | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.8K | Under $7.7K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $7.6K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.1K | Over $117 | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | — | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.4K | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | Over $4.3K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | — | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $3.1K | Louisville $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $2.1K | Mavericks $1.7K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $120 | Under $2.5K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | Under $933 | — |
| Spread: Washington (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $2 | Washington $2.3K | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $199 | — |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | — | Rice $370 | Tulane $1.1K | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $619 | Over $817 | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville | — | North Carolina $798 | Louisville $342 | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Florida $19 | Kentucky $1.1K | — |
| Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $285 | Over $4 | — |
| Manhattan Jaspers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Manhattan Jaspers | — | Le Moyne Dolphins $109 | Manhattan Jaspers $1 | — |
| Spread: Texas State (-9.5) same side · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $18K | Texas State $26K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $309 | New Mexico $29K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $21K | Grizzlies $209 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $6.2K | Pelicans $10K | — |
| Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5) same side · consensus Louisiana Tech | — | Southern Miss $40 | Southern Miss $12K | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky same side · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $515 | — | Kentucky $12K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $184 | Air Force $12K | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State same side · consensus Oregon State | — | Boise State $11K | Boise State $590 | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | — | Lightning $783 | Lightning $10K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $5.2K | Heat $4.7K | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $3.0K | Maple Leafs $5.5K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $704 | New Mexico $6.5K | — |
| Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5) same side · consensus Marshall | — | Marshall $4.1K | Marshall $2.9K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $651 | Over $5.9K | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.6K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $252 | Pistons $5.7K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | Over $887 | — |