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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807HomeRunHazardMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (448–384, n=832)85% (22–4, n=26)55% (394–322, n=716)
Consensus PnL$0$332K$318K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #10PM monthly #120PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)66% (185 of 280 open)no open consensus position53% (100 of 190 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)22% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)61% (won 100% of 14)20% (won 98% of 118)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807HomeRunHazardMD14nigiri99
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19K—Over $12K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.1K—Over $15K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $9.9K—Nets $5.3K
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $5.7K—Alabama $3.5K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $537—Over $7.4K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $6.5K—Arkansas $712
UAB vs. Temple: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $2.5K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.3K—Over $755
Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.8K—Over $103
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $103—Heat $5.1K
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9K—Over $1.2K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $4.7K—Pelicans $74
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $4.1K—Duke $540
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.4K—Over $3
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.6K—Under $121
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Washington $3.0K—Michigan State $610
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $831—Virginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.2K—James Madison $1.2K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.0K—Under $239
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.1K—Over $1.0K
East Carolina vs. Charlotte: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.6K—Under $133
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5K—USC $2
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
—Ohio State $363—Northwestern $1.8K
Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
—San Francisco Dons $1.0K—Portland State Vikings $1.1K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Alabama $695—Vanderbilt $983
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.5K—Stanford $53
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $254—Heat $790
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Mississippi State $383—Auburn $377
Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints
opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints
—Siena Saints $526—Brown Bears $209
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572—Under $143
Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $667—Over $34
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $382—Over $308
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $59—Vanderbilt $621
Spread: Indiana (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus USC
—Indiana $5—USC $614
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $208—Heat $336
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Central Michigan Chippewas $344—Northern Kentucky Norse $165
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $48—Duke $388
Rice Owls vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
opposite sides · consensus Rice Owls
—Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks $12—Rice Owls $334
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $14K—Nets $22K
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)
same side · consensus Northwestern
—Northwestern $21K—Northwestern $863
UAB vs. Temple: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $178—Over $17K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8.8K—Under $5.2K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Over $1.5K
Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 45.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Under $11K
Spread: Yale (-3.5)
same side · consensus Yale
—Princeton $364—Princeton $11K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.4K—Over $531
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $2.1K—Flames $6.1K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $5.0K—Heat $3.1K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.2K—Under $1.8K