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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)54% (448–384, n=832)55% (394–322, n=716)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$332K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #13PM monthly #10PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)45% (144 of 321 open)66% (185 of 280 open)53% (100 of 190 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 118)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

77 on the same side, 71 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $298Nets $14KNets $22K
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397Miami (FL) $48Duke $388
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23Kraken $355Kraken $341
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19K—Yes $63K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $19KOver $12K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6.1KOver $15K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.3K—Nets $19K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $158—Nets $16K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $10KCavaliers $5.7K—
Will Poland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $12K—Yes $3.5K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $9.9KNets $5.3K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.7K—Yes $13K
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $5.7KAlabama $3.5K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.9K—Over $5.1K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Arkansas State $387Coastal Carolina $8.4K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $314Under $8.0K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $537Over $7.4K
Will Austria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.9K—Yes $516
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $6.5KArkansas $712
UAB vs. Temple: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $2.5K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.3KOver $755
Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.8KOver $103
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $103Heat $5.1K
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $1.2K
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.5K—Yes $2.4K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $4.7KPelicans $74
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
——Miami (FL) $4.1KDuke $540
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.4KOver $3
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.8K—Under $548
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.6KUnder $121
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Washington $3.0KMichigan State $610
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $831Virginia Tech $2.8K
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $518—Yes $3.0K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.2KJames Madison $1.2K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.0KUnder $239
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.1KOver $1.0K
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $420Pistons $2.7K—
East Carolina vs. Charlotte: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.6KUnder $133
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
——Ohio State $363Northwestern $1.8K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $186—Over $1.9K
Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
——San Francisco Dons $1.0KPortland State Vikings $1.1K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $695Vanderbilt $983
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $1.5KStanford $53
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Denmark $731—Portugal $799
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $958—Mavericks $120
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $254Heat $790
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $690—Over $351