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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Sakan1
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)48% (600–648, n=1248)54% (455–392, n=847)no settled market
Consensus PnL$856K$512K$324K—
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #18PM monthly #129PM monthly #950
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)50% (51 of 101 open)51% (75 of 146 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Sakan1
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $1.7KGrizzlies $33KGrizzlies $70K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $19KHeat $8.1KHeat $11K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $14KBulls $31K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $21KUtah $14K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $26KUnder $1.7K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $24KUnder $125—
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $9.3KAmanda Nunes $5.0K—
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $11KArizona $2.2K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12KUnder $63—
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $11KDucks $573—
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $4.1K—Flames $6.1K—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $7.8KUNLV $227—
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Luis Gurule
—Bilal Hasan $7.9KLuis Gurule $80—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—Louisville $2.0KNorth Carolina $5.7K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.3KUnder $290—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $3.1KStanford $4.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.2KHeat $915—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $2Heat $5.2K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $3.1KBulls $1.4K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—South Carolina $2.6KArkansas $1.5K—
Purdue vs. Iowa
opposite sides · consensus Iowa
—Purdue $3Iowa $1.8K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $195Ducks $903—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—LSU $24Texas $230—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $11Bulls $66—
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $63KBulls $207K—
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $9.3KStars $96K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $291Grizzlies $33K—
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus UNLV
—New Mexico $32KNew Mexico $281—
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $20KOver $482—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $16KUnder $4.2K—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $18KTexas $98—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15KOver $521—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $11KArkansas $4.1K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
—Air Force $14KAir Force $167—
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
—North Texas $10KNorth Texas $2.0K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $6.0KNets $5.8K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.6KOver $1.6K—
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
—Kevin Holland $1.9KKevin Holland $5.7K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $3.2KVirginia Tech $1.3K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.0KOver $942—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $3.4KNets $80—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $970Under $1.3K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3Over $1.9K—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $170Over $1.7K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9Under $1.3K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5Under $1.2K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $447Over $160—
Purdue vs. Iowa: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $332Under $146—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $27Nets $412—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $50Under $344—