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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | ilyho | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 54% (455–392, n=847) |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | $19K | $512K | $324K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #784 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #129 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 50% (51 of 101 open) | 51% (75 of 146 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | — | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 5) | — | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 100% of 7) | — | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | — | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | ilyho | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $1.7K | — | Grizzlies $33K | Grizzlies $70K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $16K | — | Heat $8.2K | Heat $11K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $14K | Bulls $31K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | — | Arizona $21K | Utah $14K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $26K | Under $1.7K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $24K | Under $125 |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | — | Kayla Harrison $9.3K | Amanda Nunes $5.0K |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | — | Utah $11K | Arizona $2.2K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $12K | Under $63 |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | — | Islanders $11K | Ducks $573 |
| Flames vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $4.1K | — | — | Flames $6.1K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | New Mexico $7.8K | UNLV $227 |
| UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Luis Gurule | — | — | Bilal Hasan $7.9K | Luis Gurule $80 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | — | Louisville $2.0K | North Carolina $5.7K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $7.2K | Under $290 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $3.1K | Stanford $4.3K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | — | Pistons $5.2K | Heat $915 |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Pistons $2 | Heat $5.2K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $3.1K | Bulls $1.4K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | — | South Carolina $2.6K | Arkansas $1.5K |
| Purdue vs. Iowa opposite sides · consensus Iowa | — | — | Purdue $3 | Iowa $1.8K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | — | Islanders $195 | Ducks $903 |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | — | — | LSU $24 | Texas $230 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | — | Timberwolves $11 | Bulls $66 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | — | Bulls $63K | Bulls $207K |
| Sabres vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | — | — | Stars $9.3K | Stars $96K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $291 | Grizzlies $33K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus UNLV | — | — | New Mexico $32K | New Mexico $281 |
| Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $20K | Over $482 |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $16K | Under $4.2K |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | — | — | Texas $18K | Texas $98 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $15K | Over $521 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) same side · consensus Arkansas | — | — | Arkansas $11K | Arkansas $4.1K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | — | — | Air Force $14K | Air Force $167 |
| North Texas vs. UTSA same side · consensus North Texas | — | — | North Texas $10K | North Texas $2.0K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Nets $6.0K | Nets $5.8K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9.6K | Over $1.6K |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Uroš Medic | — | — | Kevin Holland $1.9K | Kevin Holland $5.7K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Stanford | — | — | Virginia Tech $3.2K | Virginia Tech $1.3K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Nets $3.4K | Nets $80 |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.0K | Over $421 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $970 | Under $1.3K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3 | Over $1.9K |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $170 | Over $1.7K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9 | Under $1.3K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5 | Under $1.2K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $447 | Over $160 |
| Purdue vs. Iowa: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $332 | Under $146 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Nets $27 | Nets $412 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $50 | Under $344 |