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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)71% (2602–1070, n=3672)53% (516–455, n=971)54% (452–389, n=841)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$485K$362K$322K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #10PM monthly #11PM monthly #267
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position49% (120 of 246 open)66% (142 of 214 open)55% (110 of 199 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

78 on the same side, 85 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $112Grizzlies $24KGrizzlies $29K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.4KPelicans $21KNuggets $350
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.5KNets $9.6KNets $11K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $98Canadiens $10KAvalanche $11K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $12KCavaliers $5.9KMavericks $173
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $24Utah $231Utah $14K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7KUnder $5.0KUnder $68
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $176Under $2.6KOver $3.5K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $187Under $5.4KUnder $295
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $503Cavaliers $4.8KMavericks $330
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks
—Jacksonville State Gamecocks $3.5KJacksonville State Gamecocks $21UAB Blazers $689
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $248Cavaliers $3.4KMavericks $218
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Under $2.0KOver $488
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9Over $1.7KOver $314
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Panthers $9Panthers $1.5KBlues $210
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $708Over $362
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $328Pistons $232Heat $332
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $11Bruins $697Bruins $4
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $3Nets $9Nets $513
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $21North Dakota Fighting Hawks $206Montana Grizzlies $218
Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Under $51Over $89
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $14KUnder $5.8K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $210Heat $5.2KHeat $8.6K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $75Over $2.8KOver $6.9K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $43Maple Leafs $3.2KMaple Leafs $4.9K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $462Heat $6.3KHeat $749
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $905Under $3.5KUnder $2.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.8KBulls $1.2KBulls $1.3K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $213Under $3.4KUnder $151
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $384Texas Tech $1.2KTexas Tech $1.9K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $49Under $1.1KUnder $2.3K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412Under $985Under $1.5K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $24KWashington $86K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $16—Stars $99K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $7.9K—Grizzlies $63K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $23KMavericks $149
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $2.6K—Bulls $15K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $11KOver $4.8K
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $219Under $13K
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Boise State
——Boise State $11KOregon State $366
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $481—Nets $9.9K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $5.2KHeat $5.2K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $6.8KArkansas $3.0K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.8KUnder $6.4K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.6KUnder $5.0K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7.0KOver $590
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $6.5KNuggets $496
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.1KOver $1.8K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $1.5KStanford $4.3K