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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2dda38...f23b34 | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (16–14, n=30) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 55% (394–322, n=716) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $586K | $332K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 65% (175 of 271 open) | 53% (95 of 179 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2dda38...f23b34 | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $19K | Over $12K |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6.1K | Over $15K |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Vanderbilt $5.7K | Alabama $3.5K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $537 | Over $7.9K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | — | South Carolina $6.5K | Arkansas $712 |
| UAB vs. Temple: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $2.5K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5.3K | Over $755 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.8K | Over $103 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Pistons $103 | Heat $5.1K |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.9K | Over $1.2K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $4.7K | Pelicans $74 |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | — | Miami (FL) $4.1K | Duke $540 |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.4K | Over $3 |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.6K | Under $121 |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | — | Washington $3.0K | Michigan State $610 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $239 |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | — | UConn $2.2K | James Madison $1.2K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.1K | Over $1.0K |
| East Carolina vs. Charlotte: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.6K | Under $133 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern | — | — | Ohio State $363 | Northwestern $1.8K |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | — | San Francisco Dons $1.0K | Portland State Vikings $1.1K |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Alabama $695 | Vanderbilt $983 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Stanford $53 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | — | Pistons $250 | Heat $790 |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | — | Mississippi State $383 | Auburn $377 |
| Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints | — | — | Siena Saints $526 | Brown Bears $209 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $572 | Under $143 |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $667 | Over $34 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $382 | Over $308 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $59 | Vanderbilt $621 |
| Spread: Indiana (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus USC | — | — | Indiana $5 | USC $614 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Pistons $208 | Heat $336 |
| Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Kentucky Norse opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas | — | — | Central Michigan Chippewas $344 | Northern Kentucky Norse $165 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | — | Miami (FL) $48 | Duke $388 |
| Rice Owls vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks opposite sides · consensus Rice Owls | — | — | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks $12 | Rice Owls $334 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Nets $11K | Nets $22K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Nets $5.4K | Nets $25K |
| Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) same side · consensus Northwestern | — | — | Northwestern $21K | Northwestern $863 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Nets $870 | Nets $16K |
| UAB vs. Temple: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $178 | Over $17K |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $9.0K | Under $5.2K |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $12K | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Nets $3.7K | Nets $8.6K |
| Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 45.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $11K |
| Spread: Yale (-3.5) same side · consensus Yale | — | — | Princeton $364 | Princeton $11K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9.4K | Over $531 |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Flames $2.1K | Flames $6.1K |