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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (448–384, n=832)48% (513–552, n=1065)55% (394–322, n=716)
Consensus PnL$0$332K$546K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #10PM monthly #18PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (175 of 271 open)65% (98 of 150 open)53% (95 of 179 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 19)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)37% (won 100% of 126)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 171)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 25)20% (won 98% of 118)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

64 on the same side, 71 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $1.2KHurricanes $40KKraken $341
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $5.7KVanderbilt $30KAlabama $3.5K
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $6.1KTennessee $25KTexas A&M $1.1K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19KUnder $608Over $12K
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KUnder $25KOver $323
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $22KUnder $121
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
—Ohio State $363Northwestern $19KNorthwestern $1.8K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.7KOver $11KUnder $1.8K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5KUSC $14KUSC $2
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9.0KOver $540Under $5.2K
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $48Miami (FL) $12KDuke $388
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.3KOver $5.5KOver $755
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.3KVirginia Tech $2.8K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.4KUnder $3.5KOver $3
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $4.1KMiami (FL) $2.2KDuke $540
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.5KStanford $53
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $59Alabama $3.6KVanderbilt $621
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.5KCanadiens $764
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Rice $305Tulane $608Rice $2.2K
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $1.6KOver $278
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)
same side · consensus Northwestern
—Northwestern $21KNorthwestern $20KNorthwestern $863
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kennesaw State
—Kennesaw State $3.0KKennesaw State $30KKennesaw State $1.4K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $870Nets $10KNets $16K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.4KOver $15KOver $531
Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 53.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $56Over $3.4KOver $54
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KUnder $437Under $25
Spread: Tennessee (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
——Tennessee $22KTexas A&M $202
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.1K—Over $15K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.8KUnder $12K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $9.9K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K—
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $2.6KMiddle Tennessee $6.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $537—Over $7.9K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.0KOver $125—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.3K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $6.5K—Arkansas $712
UAB vs. Temple: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $2.5K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $2.1K—
Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.8K—Over $103
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $103—Heat $5.1K
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9K—Over $1.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $3.5KMavericks $1.4K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $4.7K—Pelicans $74
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $291Over $4.4K
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus West Virginia
—West Virginia $410Kansas $3.7K—
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—LSU Tigers $1.6KGonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K—
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $76