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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)48% (617–662, n=1279)83% (24–5, n=29)53% (472–417, n=889)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$549K$328K$399K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #114PM monthly #129was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus58% (60 of 104 open)no open consensus position50% (68 of 135 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $560—Bulls $32K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $28K—Under $1.2K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $25K—Under $37—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $16K—Under $26—
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
Kayla Harrison $9.4K—Amanda Nunes $5.0K—
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
Utah $11K—Arizona $2.1K—
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
Islanders $11K—Ducks $573—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.7K—Under $140—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $1—Heat $7.5K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $3.1K—Stanford $4.3K—
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
Wyoming $100—UTEP $6.9K—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
New Mexico $5.5K—UNLV $224—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.2K—Heat $1.3K—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
Louisville $170—North Carolina $4.2K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
South Carolina $1.7K—Arkansas $1.8K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $409—Bulls $1.8K—
Purdue vs. Iowa
opposite sides · consensus Iowa
Purdue $2—Iowa $1.9K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
Islanders $291—Ducks $1.3K—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
LSU $30—Texas $145—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Timberwolves $11—Bulls $137—
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
Stars $13K—Stars $137K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $38K—Grizzlies $76K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $25K—Utah $17K—
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Kevin Holland
Kevin Holland $30K—Kevin Holland $11K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $348—Grizzlies $36K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $8.9K—Heat $14K—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $16K—Under $5.6K—
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $20K—Over $803—
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
San Jose State $17K—San Jose State $552—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $17K—Over $614—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
Texas $16K—Texas $134—
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
New Mexico $13K—New Mexico $162—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $4.7K—Nets $6.6K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
Arkansas $7.3K—Arkansas $2.5K—
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
North Texas $8.5K—North Texas $1.2K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6.1K—Over $1.5K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $865—Texas Tech $6.3K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $10—Over $5.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $5.3K—Nets $134—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4.4K—Over $549—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $174—Over $1.7K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos $430—New Mexico Lobos $1.3K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $525—Under $712—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $986—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $11—Heat $571—
Purdue vs. Iowa: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $347—Under $144—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $339—Over $121—
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7—Over $345—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $51—Under $288—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $49—Nets $105—