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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)58% (21–15, n=36)52% (527–481, n=1008)53% (472–417, n=889)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$886K$370K$399K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #129was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (92 of 142 open)50% (68 of 135 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

40 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $2.4K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.5KOver $5.7K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7KOver $6.2K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $2.3KHeat $7.5K—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KUnder $5.6K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.7KUnder $2.9K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.9KOver $1.5K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $2.5K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Stanford $4.6KVirginia Tech $983—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.0KStanford $4.3K—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.4KUnder $365—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $549—
Spread: New Mexico (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus UNLV
—New Mexico $2.3KUNLV $554—
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $1.9KWyoming $679—
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KOver $273—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $531Stanford $877—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $712—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $596UNLV $224—
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $219Texas $584—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $157Heat $571—
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Jose State
—Air Force $5San Jose State $552—
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277Montana Grizzlies $155—
Rockets vs. Wizards
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Wizards $24Rockets $76—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $88KGrizzlies $76K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $28KGrizzlies $36K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $13KBulls $32K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $40KNets $1.2K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $8.4KHeat $14K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.1KOver $12K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $234Utah $17K—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $10KHeat $1.3K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $11KOver $614—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $579Under $11K—
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $3.6KFlames $6.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $6.3K—
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.1KUnder $4.8K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.6KUnder $1.2K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.7KUnder $2.4K—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
same side · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $1.6KNorth Carolina $4.2K—
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $139Over $5.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.7KBulls $1.8K—
UNLV vs. New Mexico
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $3.4KNew Mexico $580—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texas
—Texas $3.6KTexas $145—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K—
Spread: Iowa (-17.5)
same side · consensus Purdue
—Iowa $83Iowa $3.2K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KDucks $1.3K—
Spread: Iowa (-16.5)
same side · consensus Iowa
—Iowa $2.7KIowa $448—