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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binaklHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)51% (44–42, n=86)52% (591–550, n=1141)48% (701–773, n=1474)53% (539–479, n=1018)
Consensus PnL$26K$385K$871K$642K
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #10PM monthly #14PM monthly #65
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (96 of 146 open)55% (82 of 148 open)55% (63 of 115 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

53 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbinaklHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $7.3KOregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $144K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $16KVikings $28KPackers $21K
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $24KUnder $2.1K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $2.8KDolphins $13KColts $2.0K
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.1KUnder $4.6KOver $2.2K
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $2.2KBills $4.3KBills $7.2K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $7.6KRams $4.8KCardinals $199
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $5.1KBills $619Jets $5.7K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.0KOver $4.0KUnder $701
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $106KBills $122K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $25K49ers $23K49ers $79K
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $44K76ers $75K76ers $2.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $2.3KJaguars $13KJaguars $73K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.0KUnder $29KUnder $32K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $8Jaguars $3.4KJaguars $20K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $1.4KBrowns $21KBrowns $461
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $2.9KDolphins $1.6KDolphins $1.3K
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KUnder $833Under $9
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3Over $3.6KOver $2.0K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $12KChiefs $21K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Dolphins $2.7KColts $24K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $13KFalcons $9.1K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $17K76ers $23
Texans vs. Browns
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $9.8K—Browns $6.1K
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8.7KOver $7.1K—
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $15KOver $270
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $2.2KKnicks $9.2K—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $11KUnder $185
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $9.3K—Packers $160
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $267Wizards $7.9K—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.1KYes $6.0K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KOver $4.8K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $4.4K76ers $2.8K—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $6.6KJazz $502—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $1.9KJazz $5.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.7KUnder $3.2K
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $6.3KJets $220—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $2.6K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $2.4KClippers $2.8K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $111Under $4.5K—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $23Over $4.0K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $482Clippers $2.6K—
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $2.4KJets $417—
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $5976ers $2.2K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
—High Point Panthers $152Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $585Under $885
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $20
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $62Oklahoma $623
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $471Yes $9
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $77Under $132—