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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binaklHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)51% (44–42, n=86)52% (591–550, n=1141)48% (701–773, n=1474)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$26K$385K$871K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #10PM monthly #14PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (96 of 146 open)55% (82 of 148 open)58% (7 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbinaklHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $2.3KJaguars $13KTitans $198K
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $106KJets $72K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $25K49ers $23KCowboys $275
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $13KFalcons $9.1KChiefs $8.8K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19KSeahawks $63K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $16KVikings $28KVikings $16K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $3.3KCowboys $5.9K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Packers $17K—Vikings $14K
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $24K—
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Dolphins $2.7KColts $24K—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $22KPacers $248
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $2.8KDolphins $13K—
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8.7KOver $7.1K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $2.2KKnicks $9.2K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $267Wizards $7.9K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $4.4K76ers $2.8K—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $6.6KJazz $502—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $1.9KJazz $5.1K—
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $6.3KJets $220—
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $2.2KBills $4.3K—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.0KOver $4.0K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $2.6K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $2.4KClippers $2.8K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $111Under $4.5K—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $23Over $4.0K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $482Clippers $2.6K—
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $2.4KJets $417—
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $5976ers $2.2K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
—High Point Panthers $152Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $77Under $132—
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $27Pacers $153—
Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
—Marquette Golden Eagles $52Missouri Tigers $9—
Jaguars vs. Titans
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $34KJaguars $111K—
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $44K76ers $75K—
Spurs vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $18KSpurs $26K—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.0KUnder $29K—
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
same side · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $7.3KOregon Ducks $19K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $1.4KBrowns $21K—
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $7.6KRams $4.8K—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.1KUnder $4.6K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.9KSuns $6.0K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KUnder $6.6K—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KUnder $833—
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jets
—Bills $5.1KBills $619—
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $293—Seahawks $5.3K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $2.9KDolphins $1.6K—
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $53Thunder $4.0K—
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3Over $3.6K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $8Jaguars $3.4K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $532Hawks $2.0K—