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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| binakl | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (44–42, n=86) | 71% (3004–1251, n=4255) | 52% (591–550, n=1141) | 53% (539–479, n=1018) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $519K | $385K | $642K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #863 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #65 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (129 of 238 open) | 66% (96 of 146 open) | 55% (63 of 115 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 12% (won 45% of 89) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | binakl | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | 49ers $25K | 49ers $79K |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $642 | Packers $17K | Packers $6.3K |
| Texans vs. Browns opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Browns $33 | Texans $9.8K | Browns $6.1K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $28 | Under $4.3K | Under $529 |
| Pacers vs. 76ers same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $7.4K | 76ers $44K | 76ers $2.8K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $56 | Colts $2.8K | Colts $2.0K |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $7.3K | Pepperdine Waves $144K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $16K | Packers $21K |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $15K | — | Over $9.0K |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $18K | — | Yes $4.3K |
| Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $11K | — | Yes $9.6K |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | — | Over $562 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | Yes $20 |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $55 | Chiefs $13K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Bills $5.1K | Jets $5.7K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | — | Vikings $9.3K | Packers $160 |
| Spread: Bills (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $2.2K | Bills $7.2K |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.1K | Over $2.2K |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | — | Rams $7.6K | Cardinals $199 |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $798 | — | Over $5.1K |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.0K | — | Over $278 |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $418 | Pacers $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Mavericks $147 | Celtics $4.5K | — |
| Spain vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | — | Over $513 |
| Italy leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.9K | — | Yes $8 |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Italy | — | Belgium $2.1K | — | Italy $16 |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $45 | Over $1.9K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $1.9K | — | 76ers $23 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $1.1K | — | Oklahoma $623 |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $154 |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Bucks $163 | Hawks $532 | — |
| Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers opposite sides · consensus Temple Owls | — | Temple Owls $104 | La Salle Explorers $558 | — |
| Spread: James Madison Dukes (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Mercyhurst Lakers | — | James Madison Dukes $49 | Mercyhurst Lakers $421 | — |
| Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers opposite sides · consensus Air Force Falcons | — | Air Force Falcons $67 | — | Pacific Tigers $255 |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $183 | Jazz $70 | — |
| Spread: England (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Spain | — | Spain $181 | — | England $9 |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | — | Packers $69 | Vikings $5 |
| Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3 | Under $40 | — |
| Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles | — | Missouri Tigers $16 | Marquette Golden Eagles $3 | — |
| Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-29.5) opposite sides · consensus Wisconsin Badgers | — | Wisconsin Badgers $4 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $9 | — |
| Bills vs. Jets same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $28K | Bills $122K |
| Will England win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $71K | — | Yes $6.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $2.3K | Jaguars $73K |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.0K | Under $32K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $12K | Under $16K |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | — | Saints $22K | Saints $11 |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $627 | Seahawks $20K | — |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $19K | — | Yes $650 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $8 | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $2.0K | Browns $10K |