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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binaklBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)51% (44–42, n=86)56% (61–47, n=108)52% (591–550, n=1141)48% (701–773, n=1474)
Consensus PnL$26K$770K$385K$871K
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #1PM monthly #10PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (15 of 30 open)66% (96 of 146 open)55% (82 of 148 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—0%2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbinaklBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $1.1MChiefs $13KFalcons $9.1K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $142K49ers $25K49ers $23K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $164KDolphins $2.7KColts $24K
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $37KJaguars $34KJaguars $111K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $161KJaguars $8Jaguars $3.4K
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $6.8K76ers $44K76ers $75K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $102KJaguars $2.3KJaguars $13K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $91KColts $2.8KDolphins $13K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $78KFalcons $1.9KFalcons $9
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $13KDolphins $6Dolphins $1.1K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $398Dolphins $2.9KDolphins $1.6K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $271KVikings $16KVikings $28K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $38KCowboys $2.3KCowboys $3.3K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $1.1MPackers $17K—
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $945KSaints $22K—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $94K—Falcons $12K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $54K—76ers $22K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $32KFalcons $3.5K—
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $24K
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $8.7KOver $7.1K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Raptors $2.2KKnicks $9.2K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
——Rockets $267Wizards $7.9K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $4.4K76ers $2.8K
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $6.6KJazz $502
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $1.9KJazz $5.1K
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $6.3KJets $220
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Jets $2.2KBills $4.3K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.0KOver $4.0K
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $2.6K
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Hornets $2.4KClippers $2.8K
Spread: Packers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $2.8KPackers $2.4K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $111Under $4.5K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $23Over $4.0K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $49—Jaguars $3.9K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $482Clippers $2.6K
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.4KJets $417
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $742Packers $1.8K—
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $5976ers $2.2K
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
——High Point Panthers $152Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $77Under $132
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $27Pacers $153
Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
——Marquette Golden Eagles $52Missouri Tigers $9
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $28KBills $106K
Spurs vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $18KSpurs $26K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6.0KUnder $29K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
same side · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $7.3KOregon Ducks $19K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $1.4KBrowns $21K
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $12KVikings $9.3K—
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
——Rams $7.6KRams $4.8K