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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | yuyuvkxDD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (527–481, n=1008) | 48% (617–662, n=1279) | 53% (472–417, n=889) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $370K | $549K | $399K | -$2.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #129 | was PM monthly #418 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (92 of 142 open) | 58% (60 of 104 open) | 50% (68 of 135 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
48 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | yuyuvkxDD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $13K | Timberwolves $560 | Bulls $32K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.6K | Over $28K | Under $1.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $922 | Over $25K | Under $37 | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.4K | Under $16K | Under $5.6K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.9K | Over $16K | Under $26 | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus San Jose State | Air Force $5 | San Jose State $17K | San Jose State $552 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $10K | Pistons $3.2K | Heat $1.3K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $7.3K | Arkansas $2.5K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.9K | Over $6.1K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $7.7K | Under $140 | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.5K | Over $10 | Over $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $2.3K | Pistons $1 | Heat $7.5K | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Virginia Tech $3.1K | Stanford $4.3K | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | Over $4.4K | Over $549 | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $596 | New Mexico $5.5K | UNLV $224 | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville | North Carolina $1.6K | Louisville $170 | North Carolina $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $2.7K | Timberwolves $409 | Bulls $1.8K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $3.6K | LSU $30 | Texas $145 | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $291 | Ducks $1.3K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | Under $525 | Under $712 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $157 | Heat $11 | Heat $571 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $88K | Grizzlies $38K | Grizzlies $76K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $28K | Grizzlies $348 | Grizzlies $36K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Utah | Utah $234 | Utah $25K | Utah $17K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $8.4K | Heat $8.9K | Heat $14K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $11K | Over $17K | Over $614 | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.8K | Texas $16K | Texas $134 | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | Over $174 | Over $1.7K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $151 | New Mexico $13K | New Mexico $162 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $2.8K | Texas Tech $865 | Texas Tech $6.3K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $936 | Over $339 | Over $121 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $2 | Nets $49 | Nets $105 | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $477 | Tulsa $43K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | Kayla Harrison $9.4K | Amanda Nunes $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Utah $11K | Arizona $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Islanders $11K | Ducks $573 | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $25 | Under $11K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.7K | — | Over $6.2K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.7K | — | Under $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Wyoming | — | Wyoming $100 | UTEP $6.9K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Stanford $4.6K | — | Virginia Tech $983 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K | — | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.4K | — | Under $365 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | South Carolina $1.7K | Arkansas $1.8K | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State | North Dakota State $2.2K | Hawai'i $728 | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus UNLV | New Mexico $2.3K | — | UNLV $554 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.6K | Under $108 | — | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | UTEP $1.9K | — | Wyoming $679 | — |