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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (451–385, n=836) | 85% (22–4, n=26) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 55% (403–333, n=736) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | $318K | $2.4K | $412K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (151 of 239 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 57% (103 of 182 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
48 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | MegaMan-.- | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $25 | Gen.G $45K | Gen.G $4.9K |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | Michigan State $23K | — | — | Washington $93K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | — | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $516 | — | — | Over $13K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $212 | — | — | Under $13K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | — | — | Over $6.1K |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas A&M | Tennessee $7.2K | — | — | Texas A&M $452 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $6.5K | — | — | Arkansas $733 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5.8K | — | — | Over $784 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $4.7K | — | — | Pelicans $1.3K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $1.6K | — | — | Stanford $4.4K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.1K | — | — | Over $1.9K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.6K | — | — | Under $3.8K |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.5K | — | — | Over $1.9K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $104 | — | — | Heat $5.1K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.5K | — | — | Under $365 |
| Boston College vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.9K | — | — | Over $1.6K |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.4K | — | — | Over $2 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern $3.5K | — | — | Georgia State $863 |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.3K | — | — | Over $2.1K |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.7K | — | — | Under $123 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $831 | — | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | UTEP $1.9K | — | — | Wyoming $656 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | — | — | USC $2 |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.2K | — | — | Over $262 |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | San Francisco Dons $1.0K | — | — | Portland State Vikings $1.2K |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | UTEP $1.8K | — | — | Wyoming $403 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | — | — | Islanders $216 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF opposite sides · consensus UCF | Arizona State $1.8K | — | — | UCF $187 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $539 | — | — | Under $931 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $531 | — | — | Stanford $877 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $578 | — | — | Under $605 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $252 | — | — | Heat $766 |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Mississippi State $383 | — | — | Auburn $377 |
| Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints | Siena Saints $520 | — | — | Brown Bears $222 |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $667 | — | — | Over $76 |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | Georgia Southern $57 | — | — | Georgia State $531 |
| Spread: Air Force (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Air Force | San Jose State $254 | — | — | Air Force $318 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $208 | — | — | Heat $332 |
| Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Kentucky Norse opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas | Central Michigan Chippewas $386 | — | — | Northern Kentucky Norse $150 |
| Spread: Indiana (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus USC | Indiana $5 | — | — | USC $484 |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $290 | — | — | Under $17 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $258 | — | — | Arkansas $12 |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | Georgia Southern $5 | — | — | Georgia State $248 |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $174 | — | — | Middle Tennessee $29 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $147 | — | — | Over $13 |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | Blackhawks $83 | — | — | Jets $29 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6.9K | — | — | Over $34K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $14K | — | — | Nets $23K |