← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 45% (14–17, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $512K | $324K | $18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #287 | PM monthly #905 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (133 of 243 open) | 52% (68 of 132 open) | 51% (84 of 165 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
59 on the same side, 56 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $115 | Cavaliers $133K | Mavericks $48 | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $215 | Stars $9.3K | Stars $96K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $7.3K | Timberwolves $14K | Bulls $31K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Arizona $21K | Utah $14K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.3K | Over $26K | Under $1.7K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | Over $12K | Under $63 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $615 | Nets $6.0K | Nets $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.5K | Timberwolves $3.1K | Bulls $1.4K | — |
| UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan | Luis Gurule $30 | Bilal Hasan $7.9K | Luis Gurule $8 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $963 | Over $6.3K | Under $290 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Pistons $5.2K | Heat $915 | — |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | Blue Jackets $8 | Flyers $5.1K | Blue Jackets $320 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | Arkansas $1.1K | South Carolina $1.7K | Arkansas $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $350 | Nets $3.4K | Nets $80 | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $93 | Over $8 | Under $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $686 | Mavericks $2 | Mavericks $63 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $122 | Nets $412 | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs $205 | Oilers $204 | Oilers $89 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $314 | Timberwolves $11 | Bulls $66 | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $54 | Under $87 | Over $53 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $859 | Bulls $63K | Bulls $197K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $924 | Grizzlies $291 | Grizzlies $33K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | Heat $7.0K | Heat $11K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $192 | Under $9 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $61 | Under $5 | Under $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Heat $9 | Heat $363 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $200 | Under $53 | Under $344 | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU same side · consensus BYU | Baylor $17 | Baylor $43 | Baylor $5 | — |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Penguins | Senators $136 | Penguins $32K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $21K | Under $125 | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $75 | Devils $16K | — | — |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | Kayla Harrison $9.3K | Amanda Nunes $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Utah $11K | Arizona $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.5K | — | Nets $10K | — |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Islanders $11K | Ducks $573 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $155 | Mavericks $11K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $1.0K | — | Heat $10K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $7.8K | UNLV $227 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $3.1K | Stanford $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | Louisville $1.6K | North Carolina $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.4K | — | Nets $4.9K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $2 | Heat $5.2K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $31 | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.6K | North Dakota State $362 | — |
| Purdue vs. Iowa opposite sides · consensus Iowa | — | Purdue $3 | Iowa $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $412 | Nets $1.3K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | Over $154 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $549 | Mavericks $781 | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Islanders $195 | Ducks $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Kentucky $745 | Florida $551 | — |