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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99sashasasha5
Record (consensus markets)70% (3052–1278, n=4330)47% (728–821, n=1549)53% (568–497, n=1065)49% (21–22, n=43)
Consensus PnL$539K$718K$613K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #14PM monthly #76PM monthly #935
Sides with the consensus52% (94 of 181 open)60% (52 of 87 open)59% (47 of 80 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=653———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 5% of 566)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 41% of 104)7% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 335)34% (won 100% of 161)25% (won 70% of 203)34% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 62% of 157)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 78% of 370)28% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 326)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 97% of 149)31% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99sashasasha5
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Celtics $5.2KMavericks $1.0KCeltics $39K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $548Knicks $8.7KRaptors $13K—
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $101Lakers $12KLakers $548—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $161Under $2.4KOver $6.5K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.9KOver $6.1KUnder $211—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $368Over $3.8KUnder $3.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $516Jazz $5.5KJazz $64—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $10Under $857Under $1.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $410Under $556Under $647—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2Under $56Over $194—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Spirit
Team Spirit $3Team Spirit $1.2KTeam Spirit $1.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $924Under $6Under $294—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $446Under $13Under $472—
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $155K—
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $11—49ers $109K—
Spurs vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Jazz $177Spurs $43K——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $194Over $29K—
Oilers vs. Flyers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Flyers $11KOilers $15K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Hornets $180Clippers $10K——
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $13Jazz $9.0K——
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Rockets $137Wizards $8.4K——
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.8KOver $692—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $1Lakers $6.9K——
Drummondville: Vignesh Gogineni vs Volodymyr Gurenko
opposite sides · consensus Vignesh Gogineni
Volodymyr Gurenko $244Vignesh Gogineni $5.6K——
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Knicks $4—Raptors $5.4K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $56Seahawks $4.0K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K——
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—49ers $40Cowboys $1.8K—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $30—Under $1.8K—
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Knicks $138—Raptors $1.6K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Mavericks $135—Celtics $1.2K—
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $20——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $854—Celtics $285—
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $1.1K——
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $499Lakers $137——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14Under $310——
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $299Rams $9—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Wizards $182—Rockets $90—
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $125Hornets $100——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12Under $1——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9Under $2——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $584Seahawks $52K——
49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $38KOver $3.3K—
Hornets vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $34KHornets $415—
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
—Steelers $19KSteelers $317—
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $17KRockets $72—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $143—Mavericks $11K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Clippers $2.7KClippers $5.2K—
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.8KUnder $284—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $69Suns $3.3K——