Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpgoogleplayhansama231keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)74% (1443–503, n=1946)50% (6–6, n=12)no settled market46% (323–386, n=709)
Consensus PnL$298K$423K$0$250K
Tracked asPM monthly #45PM monthly #17PM monthly #833PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus62% (171 of 277 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position59% (67 of 113 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −3 pts, n=123———
Settled positions, side won48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 5% of 159)0%—7% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 43% of 119)17% (won 100% of 1)—39% (won 100% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 61% of 70)83% (won 100% of 5)—47% (won 100% of 108)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 95% of 142)0%—7% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplayhansama231keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $3.8K——Mavericks $14K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Suns $620——Hornets $17K
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Capitals
Devils $70——Capitals $14K
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $85——76ers $5.8K
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $597——Over $4.9K
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Avalanche $260——Senators $3.7K
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $1.8K——Maple Leafs $715
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $469——76ers $1.9K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K——Over $326
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K——Under $115
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $818——Over $173
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Timberwolves $757——Mavericks $31
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $679——Over $4
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $263——76ers $204
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $140——Over $259
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $316——Avalanche $9
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
Sabres $143——Blackhawks $164
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $104——Over $128
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $95——Over $79
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Avalanche $23——Senators $149
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $64——Over $44
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $62
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki
opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki
Joanna Garland $5——Olivia Gadecki $58
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Stars $27——Jets $13
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $2——Mavericks $22
Raptors vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.6K——76ers $183K
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $5.7K——Timberwolves $53K
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
Stars $405——Stars $50K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.3K——Pistons $40K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
76ers $2.9K——76ers $28K
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5——Under $21K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
Avalanche $151——Avalanche $11K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Mavericks $684——Mavericks $7.1K
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $1.2K——Raptors $5.6K
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.1K——76ers $5.3K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $302——Over $6.1K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $910——Over $5.2K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $1.1K——Raptors $4.1K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.4K——Over $987
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $3.3K——Wizards $1.0K
Hornets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $3.9K——Suns $339
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Under $2.5K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $843——76ers $2.5K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $294——Raptors $2.9K
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $2.2K——76ers $844
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $71——Under $837
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
Maple Leafs $112——Maple Leafs $795
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Hornets $620——Hornets $2
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Blue Jackets
Lightning $443——Lightning $85
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $182——Under $333