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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsaveme
Record (consensus markets)70% (3024–1268, n=4292)52% (594–553, n=1147)47% (705–782, n=1487)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$518K$398K$825K-$1.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #10PM monthly #15was PM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus59% (176 of 297 open)70% (72 of 103 open)60% (54 of 90 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=612———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 6% of 540)2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 322)32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 62% of 152)60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 319)7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsaveme
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1649ers $25K49ers $183K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $11Under $12KOver $3.9K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Rockets $138Rockets $273Wizards $8.0K—
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $82Suns $2.0KLakers $5.7K—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $10Under $5.3KUnder $841—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $809Over $3.0KOver $652—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Bucks $165Hawks $532Hawks $2.0K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus High Point Panthers
High Point Panthers $1.7KHigh Point Panthers $309Saint Louis Billikens $543—
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
Missouri Tigers $25Marquette Golden Eagles $4Marquette Golden Eagles $162—
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns
opposite sides · consensus Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns $45Baylor Bears $2Texas Longhorns $4—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $624Seahawks $20KSeahawks $42K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $125Suns $4.1KSuns $6.0K—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $23K—Over $10K—
Panthers vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Stars $490Panthers $25K—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $22K—Under $2.8K—
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5—Over $22K—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $9.3KJazz $9.9K—
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8.7KOver $8.0K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $2.4KClippers $10K—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $717—Over $12K—
Will Spain vs. England end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7.3K—No $1.9K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $435—Knicks $8.6K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $5.7KClippers $2.6K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $2—Lakers $7.6K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KUnder $2.6K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Celtics $4.8K—Mavericks $1.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $366—Jazz $5.3K—
Will Croatia vs. Czechia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.5K—Yes $47—
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $5.1K49ers $22—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Mavericks $145Celtics $4.5K——
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Raptors $390Knicks $2.7K——
Champaign: David Bakonyi vs Axel Nefve
opposite sides · consensus Axel Nefve
Axel Nefve $907—David Bakonyi $1.6K—
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons $2.1K—Eastern Illinois Panthers $4—
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Rams $1.6KCardinals $302—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $53Over $1.8K——
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $861Under $577—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $1.0KSuns $174——
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
Universo Treviso Basket $1.1K—Scafati Basket $13—
Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
—Marquette Golden Eagles $57Missouri Tigers $1.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $141—Under $590—
San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico State Aggies
opposite sides · consensus San Diego State Aztecs
New Mexico State Aggies $2San Diego State Aztecs $681——
Spread: James Madison Dukes (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mercyhurst Lakers
James Madison Dukes $34Mercyhurst Lakers $552——
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Knicks $140Raptors $438——
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $229Lakers $63——
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $176Jazz $70——
Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $71—Yes $9—
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-29.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $9——
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $129K—Yes $4.0K—
Spurs vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $18KSpurs $36K—
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31K—Yes $3.0K—