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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighYEEES-but-why
Record (consensus markets)74% (1443–503, n=1946)53% (307–269, n=576)46% (323–386, n=709)no settled market
Consensus PnL$298K$308K$250K—
Tracked asPM monthly #45PM monthly #7PM monthly #26PM monthly #503
Sides with the consensus61% (170 of 279 open)66% (95 of 144 open)60% (67 of 112 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −3 pts, n=123———
Settled positions, side won48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢32% (won 5% of 159)1% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 15)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 43% of 119)30% (won 100% of 49)39% (won 100% of 88)—
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 61% of 70)62% (won 100% of 101)47% (won 100% of 108)—
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 95% of 142)8% (won 100% of 13)7% (won 100% of 17)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighYEEES-but-why
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $5.7KMavericks $68Timberwolves $53K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
76ers $2.9KRaptors $2176ers $29K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $3.8KMavericks $6.4KMavericks $14K—
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Suns $558Hornets $1.8KHornets $17K—
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Avalanche $240Senators $9.4KSenators $3.7K—
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0KUnder $7.6KUnder $115—
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Mavericks $684Timberwolves $6Mavericks $7.1K—
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $29476ers $3.1KRaptors $2.9K—
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $597Under $1Over $4.9K—
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
Sabres $143Blackhawks $3.3KBlackhawks $164—
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $1.8KMaple Leafs $526Maple Leafs $715—
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $277Wizards $2.0KPistons $51—
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7Under $1.0KOver $62—
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $263Raptors $13276ers $204—
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $104Over $21Over $128—
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $64Over $13Over $44—
Raptors vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.6K76ers $37K76ers $184K—
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
Stars $417Stars $10KStars $50K—
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.2KPistons $2.6KPistons $40K—
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $910Over $229Over $5.2K—
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Hornets $620Hornets $3.6KHornets $2—
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $263Canadiens $385Canadiens $160—
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2Over $7Over $33—
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Capitals
Devils $70—Capitals $14K—
Spread: Memphis (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis
—Memphis $98South Florida $12K—
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $7.6KSuns $5—
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Wizards $2.1KPistons $4.5K—
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $62—76ers $5.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $2.4K—Pistons $3.1K—
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $628Over $4.1K——
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $43Over $4.4K——
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8KUnder $1.1K——
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $469—76ers $1.9K—
Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
Western Illinois Leathernecks $16Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K——
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K—Over $326—
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $818—Over $173—
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $823Over $51—
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Timberwolves $757—Mavericks $31—
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $670—Over $4—
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State Cowboys $114Texas A&M Aggies $382——
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $141—Over $259—
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $316—Avalanche $9—
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars
opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions
—South Alabama Jaguars $300Loyola Marymount Lions $3—
Memphis vs. South Florida
opposite sides · consensus Memphis
—Memphis $179South Florida $109—
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $95—Over $111—
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Avalanche $23—Senators $149—
Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
UTEP Miners $99New Mexico State Aggies $3——
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $71—Over $16—
Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisiana
—Louisiana-Monroe $35Louisiana $33—
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki
opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki
Joanna Garland $5—Olivia Gadecki $58—