Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-
Record (consensus markets)71% (2503–1011, n=3514)53% (471–414, n=885)48% (551–602, n=1153)54% (19–16, n=35)
Consensus PnL$488K$358K$482K$2.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #18PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus49% (90 of 183 open)62% (146 of 234 open)62% (82 of 132 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)26% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)57% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)13% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

49 on the same side, 55 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMegaMan-.-
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6Georgia Southern $5.0KGeorgia State $7.8K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $310Under $8.1KOver $124—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $127Cavaliers $3.5KMavericks $1.4K—
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
Northern Kentucky Norse $4Northern Kentucky Norse $6Central Michigan Chippewas $1.4K—
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $105Under $984Over $32—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $148Penn Quakers $846—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
Kansas $6Kansas $13KKansas $60K—
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
Blackhawks $134Blackhawks $129Blackhawks $1.8K—
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $7.5KTennessee $36K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $43—Mavericks $31K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $6.2KBilibili Gaming $23K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $25K—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.4KUnder $11K—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.8KUSC $15K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $310Nets $17K——
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $11KCavaliers $5.3K——
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $336Texas $15K—
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
USC $309—Indiana $13K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.8KOver $5.3K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $146—Nets $11K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $9.9K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $8.8K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.3KTimberwolves $7.4K—
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $5.8KUSC $2.5K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.4K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $2.1K—
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—LSU Tigers $1.9KGonzaga Bulldogs $2.6K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $2.9K—Kentucky $940—
USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $3.3K—
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $111—Over $2.4K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.4K—
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $2Washington $2.3K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.8KIslanders $203—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18Kentucky $1.2K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
Arkansas $637South Carolina $258——
Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan
—Oregon $108Michigan $783—
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Rice $305Tulane $584—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $124Under $685—
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $360Tennessee $386—
West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $97Under $426——
LSU Tigers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
Gonzaga Bulldogs $507LSU Tigers $2——
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13Over $440—
Longwood Lancers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 136.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $47Over $365——
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
San Francisco Dons $33Portland State Vikings $337——
Spread: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus UNC Asheville Bulldogs
UNC Asheville Bulldogs $331Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets $7——
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $226Providence Friars $3——
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $87—No $96—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $108Under $65——