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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardiammillionairekeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)71% (2093–854, n=2947)54% (448–384, n=832)no settled market48% (503–542, n=1045)
Consensus PnL$387K$332K—$528K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #714PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus52% (168 of 322 open)64% (122 of 190 open)no open consensus position58% (30 of 52 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%—100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)—6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)—36% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)—50% (won 100% of 166)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)—7% (won 100% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardiammillionairekeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
Duke $356Miami (FL) $49—Miami (FL) $144
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
Kansas $3Kansas $6.4K—Kansas $21K
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $41—Hurricanes $34K
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $250—Tennessee $25K
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9.3K—Under $14K
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
Wales $3.6K——Norway $15K
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3K——Under $15K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.4K—USC $14K
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio State
—Ohio State $438—Northwestern $15K
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Under $7.5K
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $2.6K—Middle Tennessee $6.3K
Syracuse vs. NC State
opposite sides · consensus Syracuse
—NC State $2.1K—Syracuse $4.7K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Over $3.3K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.7K——Under $3.9K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.5K——Denmark $4.0K
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—LSU Tigers $1.5K—Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $209—Texas $1.7K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $477——Kentucky $924
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18—Kentucky $1.2K
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13Under $983——
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $209Providence Friars $4——
West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $106Under $105——
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus 9INE
WRAITH PCIFIC $7——9INE $147
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $58Grizzlies $27——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $78Over $3——
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Arabian Aces vs Emirates Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Emirates Eagles
Arabian Aces $53——Emirates Eagles $25
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh Basavareddy $6.2K——Nishesh Basavareddy $17K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $6.1KPelicans $16K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $4.5K—Over $13K
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $783—Lightning $10K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $691—New Mexico $6.3K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K——
Spread: James Madison (-5.5)
same side · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.5K—UConn $628
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Spread: Nevada (-5.5)
same side · consensus Nevada
—Nevada $100—Nevada $1.6K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $199—Pistons $1.3K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $377Heat $1.0K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $172Falcons $1.2K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K——
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $3—Mavericks $1.2K
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 130.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $278Over $929——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
Northwestern $218Northwestern $911——
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
—Bruins $574—Bruins $400
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $453——Under $295
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $34Under $626——
Spread: Virginia Tech (-14.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $2—Virginia Tech $373
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5)
same side · consensus Colorado State Rams
Loyola Chicago Ramblers $36Loyola Chicago Ramblers $168——
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $123——Lumbini Lions $53
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
same side · consensus Iberian Soul
FORZE Reload $3——FORZE Reload $18