Counter-Strike: 9INE vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

3 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold 9INE (33%) · 9INE at 74¢ · $8K held · ends Nov 14

9INE74¢WRAITH PCIFIC26¢Ends Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

9INE

Consensus Traders

9INE 33%

Total Value

$7.7K

Combined PnL

-$23.89

Smart Money Entry

72.2¢ → 73.5¢

+2% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

Neutral9INE at 74%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

9INE

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

9INE74%

WRAITH PCIFIC27%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

9INE3 traders

Total Value$6.8K

Total Shares9,388

Combined PnL+$8.45

WRAITH PCIFIC6 traders

Total Value$938.19

Total Shares3,526

Combined PnL-$32.34

9INE — 33%WRAITH PCIFIC — 67%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

29% of non-arb traders are on 9INE. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sniper9INE 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrWRAITH PCIFIC 80% · 5

Diverging

Top 1000WRAITH PCIFIC 71% · 7

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LL lllllllIlll	9INEavg 72¢	$5.5K	$5.5K	-$0	2% 5-206 (211)
JA JAMJAMJAM4	9INEavg 73¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$8.45	3% 17-515 (532)
JU JuiceFarmCTR	WRAITH PCIFICavg 27.2¢	$468.65	$457.28	-$11.37	59% 42-29 (71)
JO johnsonboyyCTR	WRAITH PCIFICavg 28¢	$238.38	$225.61	-$12.77	48% 12-13 (25)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	WRAITH PCIFICavg 28¢	$110.51	$104.59	-$5.92	46% 479-564 (1043)
CC ccllarCTR<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 28¢	$85.4	$80.83	-$4.58	42% 49-69 (118)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 27¢	$54	$56	+$2	37% 996-1673 (2669)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	WRAITH PCIFICavg 27.4¢	$13.59	$13.88	+$0.3	50% 1579-1603 (3182)
TH thatsabing0<$100	9INEavg 72¢	$5.94	$5.94	-$0	62% 202-122 (324)

lllllllIlll

9INE

Invested

$5,539.34

Value

$5.5K

PnL

-$0

Record

5-206 (211)

JAMJAMJAM4

9INE

Invested

$1,231.06

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$8.45

Record

17-515 (532)

JuiceFarmCTR

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$468.65

Value

$457.28

PnL

-$11.37

Record

59%

42-29 (71)

johnsonboyyCTR

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$238.38

Value

$225.61

PnL

-$12.77

Record

48%

12-13 (25)

omnibus-076daaCTR

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$110.51

Value

$104.59

PnL

-$5.92

Record

46%

479-564 (1043)

ccllarCTR<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$85.4

Value

$80.83

PnL

-$4.58

Record

42%

49-69 (118)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$54

Value

$56

PnL

+$2

Record

37%

996-1673 (2669)

Pan9XCTR<$100

WRAITH PCIFIC

Invested

$13.59

Value

$13.88

PnL

+$0.3

Record

50%

1579-1603 (3182)

thatsabing0<$100

9INE

Invested

$5.94

Value

$5.94

PnL

-$0

Record

62%

202-122 (324)

Research grade

Neutral9INE at 74%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

9INE

3 of 9 top traders (33%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

29% of non-arb traders are on 9INE. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sniper9INE 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrWRAITH PCIFIC 80% · 5

Diverging

Top 1000WRAITH PCIFIC 71% · 7

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that 9INE wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance75.4%

73.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$32.54

Max Loss

-$100.00

132.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.