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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)55% (23–19, n=42)52% (591–550, n=1141)47% (692–767, n=1459)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$881K$385K$865K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #18PM monthly #10PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position62% (92 of 149 open)61% (91 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢0%61% (won 100% of 14)32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)30% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)4% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $2.4KDolphins $39K
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.4KOver $25K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Dolphins $6.9KColts $17K
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $8.8KOver $7.1K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Raptors $2.3KKnicks $9.4K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
——Rockets $267Wizards $8.0K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $5.3K76ers $2.0K
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $7.0KJets $190
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $6.6KJazz $502
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $1.9KJazz $5.1K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 36.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.0KUnder $17
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Hornets $2.3KClippers $2.8K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.8KOver $3.3K
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.9KJets $319
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.2KUnder $11
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $170Under $3.0K
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
——Nebraska Cornhuskers $2.8KBoise State Broncos $318
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $465Clippers $2.6K
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $9376ers $2.0K
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
——High Point Panthers $150Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
——Louisville Cardinals $140Memphis Tigers $1.3K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $146Over $272
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $73Under $132
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $16Pacers $182
Colgate Raiders vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
opposite sides · consensus Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
——Colgate Raiders $2Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens $5
Harvard Crimson vs. American Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Harvard Crimson
——Harvard Crimson $2American Eagles $3
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $29KBills $38K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $25K49ers $23K
Spurs vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $18KSpurs $26K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $12KVikings $21K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.8KUnder $24K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
same side · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $7.4KOregon Ducks $19K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $1.5KBrowns $14K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $4.3KJaguars $10K
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.2KUnder $4.5K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.9KOver $8.0K
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
——Rams $5.7KRams $4.8K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $3.8KSuns $6.0K
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KUnder $6.7K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $6.5KDolphins $531
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $3.3K
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jets
——Bills $5.5KBills $26
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.8KUnder $833
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $2.7KFalcons $14
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
——Dolphins $8Dolphins $2.7K
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $532Hawks $2.0K
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $2.0K
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $120Colts $1.2K
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $40Under $439