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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Danny8273 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 52% (591–550, n=1141) | 47% (692–767, n=1459) | 53% (532–472, n=1004) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.4K | $385K | $865K | $635K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (92 of 149 open) | 61% (91 of 148 open) | 52% (57 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 12% (won 45% of 89) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
45 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Danny8273 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $150K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $12K | Vikings $21K | Packers $38K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $2.4K | Dolphins $39K | Colts $1.3K |
| Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.4K | Over $25K | Under $2.8K |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $7.2K | Under $4.5K | Over $2.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Bills $5.5K | Bills $26 | Jets $5.2K |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Rams $5.7K | Rams $4.8K | Cardinals $199 |
| Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.8K | Over $3.3K | Under $609 |
| Bills vs. Jets same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $29K | Bills $38K | Bills $122K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys same side · consensus 49ers | — | 49ers $25K | 49ers $23K | 49ers $61K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $4.3K | Jaguars $10K | Jaguars $80K |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.8K | Under $24K | Under $27K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $1.5K | Browns $14K | Browns $157 |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $6.5K | Dolphins $531 | Dolphins $2.1K |
| Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | Over $2.0K | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Falcons $22K | Chiefs $19K |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $28K | Under $9 |
| Spread: Colts (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Dolphins $6.9K | Colts $17K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | Pacers $21K | 76ers $24 |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $8.8K | Over $7.1K | — |
| Texans vs. Browns opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Texans $11K | — | Browns $1.5K |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Raptors $2.3K | Knicks $9.4K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $2.1K | — | Bills $7.8K |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Rockets $267 | Wizards $8.0K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $7.8K | — | Packers $399 |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $5.3K | 76ers $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Bills $7.0K | Jets $190 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $6.6K | Jazz $502 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $1.9K | Jazz $5.1K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.7K | Under $3.2K |
| Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $6.8K | Under $123 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 36.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6.0K | Under $17 | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5.0K | Over $907 |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Hornets $2.3K | Clippers $2.8K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.0K | — | Under $1.4K |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $2.9K | Jets $319 | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.2K | Under $11 | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $170 | Under $3.0K | — |
| Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.8K | Over $270 |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers | — | Nebraska Cornhuskers $2.8K | Boise State Broncos $318 | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $465 | Clippers $2.6K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $93 | 76ers $2.0K | — |
| High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens | — | High Point Panthers $150 | Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $585 | Under $876 |
| Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals | — | Louisville Cardinals $140 | Memphis Tigers $1.3K | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | — | Ole Miss $558 | Oklahoma $694 |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Packers $528 | — | Vikings $4 |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $146 | Over $272 | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $73 | Under $132 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | 76ers $16 | Pacers $182 | — |