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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)52% (591–550, n=1141)47% (692–767, n=1459)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$385K$865K$530K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #10PM monthly #14PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)62% (92 of 149 open)61% (91 of 148 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $4.3KJaguars $10KTitans $109K
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $29KBills $38KJets $54K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $25K49ers $23KCowboys $275
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $12KVikings $21KVikings $12K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $3.3KCowboys $5.8K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $2.4KDolphins $39K—
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.4KOver $25K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $16KChiefs $7.8K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Dolphins $6.9KColts $17K—
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8.8KOver $7.1K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $2.3KKnicks $9.4K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $267Wizards $8.0K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $5.3K76ers $2.0K—
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $7.0KJets $190—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $6.6KJazz $502—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $1.9KJazz $5.1K—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 36.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.0KUnder $17—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $2.3KClippers $2.8K—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $3.3K—
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
—Nebraska Cornhuskers $2.8KBoise State Broncos $1.3K—
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $2.9KJets $319—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.2KUnder $11—
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $170Under $3.0K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $465Clippers $2.6K—
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $9376ers $2.0K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
—High Point Panthers $150Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K—
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
—Louisville Cardinals $140Memphis Tigers $1.3K—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $146Over $272—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $73Under $132—
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $16Pacers $182—
Colgate Raiders vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
opposite sides · consensus Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
—Colgate Raiders $2Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens $5—
Harvard Crimson vs. American Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Harvard Crimson
—Harvard Crimson $2American Eagles $3—
Spurs vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $18KSpurs $26K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19K—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.8KUnder $24K—
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
same side · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $7.4KOregon Ducks $19K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $1.5KBrowns $14K—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.2KUnder $4.5K—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KOver $8.0K—
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $5.7KRams $4.8K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.8KSuns $6.0K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.5KUnder $6.7K—
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $6.5KDolphins $531—
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jets
—Bills $5.5KBills $26—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.8KUnder $833—
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $2.7KFalcons $14—
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Dolphins $8Dolphins $2.7K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $532Hawks $2.0K—
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $2.0K—
Spread: Colts (-3.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $120Colts $1.2K—