Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)52% (591–550, n=1141)47% (692–767, n=1459)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$533K$385K$865K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #9PM monthly #10PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)47% (113 of 242 open)61% (92 of 150 open)62% (92 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 6% of 540)2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢0%24% (won 38% of 322)32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)11% (won 62% of 152)60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)24% (won 94% of 319)7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 49 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1549ers $25K49ers $23K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $53Colts $2.4KDolphins $39K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $90Raptors $2.3KKnicks $9.4K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $245Pacers $5.3K76ers $2.4K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $374Spurs $1.9KJazz $5.1K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $628Over $3.2KUnder $11
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $532Hawks $2.0K
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
—Louisville Cardinals $442Louisville Cardinals $140Memphis Tigers $1.3K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $323Under $146Over $272
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $40Under $439
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $10076ers $16Pacers $182
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $125Suns $3.8KSuns $6.0K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.3K—Over $28K
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.5KOver $25K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Dolphins $6.9KColts $17K
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $22K—Yes $801
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $8.8KOver $7.1K
Texans vs. Browns
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Browns $14Texans $11K—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6K—Over $7.1K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Lakers $398—Suns $8.9K
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Czechia
—Croatia $222—Czechia $8.2K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
——Rockets $267Wizards $8.0K
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $7.0KJets $190
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $6.6KJazz $502
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 36.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.0KUnder $17
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Hornets $2.3KClippers $2.8K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.8KOver $3.3K
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $147Celtics $4.5K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $4.4K—
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
——Nebraska Cornhuskers $2.8KBoise State Broncos $1.3K
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Jets $2.1KBills $1.7K
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.9KJets $319
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $170Under $3.0K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $465Clippers $2.6K
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $9376ers $2.0K
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $45Over $1.9K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
——High Point Panthers $150Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K
Aquila Basket Trento vs. Virtus Bologna
opposite sides · consensus Virtus Bologna
—Virtus Bologna $1.2K—Aquila Basket Trento $5
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1K—Scafati Basket $13
Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid
—Real Madrid $1.1K—Kosner Baskonia $62
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3—Over $950
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $887—Under $17
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers
opposite sides · consensus La Salle Explorers
—Temple Owls $78La Salle Explorers $745—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $85—Pacers $507
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $183Jazz $70—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $73Under $132
Drummondville: Jared Horwood vs Jannik Opitz
opposite sides · consensus Jannik Opitz
—Jannik Opitz $51—Jared Horwood $2
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-29.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wisconsin Badgers
—Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $9—
Colgate Raiders vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
opposite sides · consensus Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
——Colgate Raiders $2Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens $5