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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)92% (11–1, n=12)74% (1443–503, n=1946)53% (307–269, n=576)46% (323–386, n=709)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$298K$308K$250K
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #45PM monthly #7PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus83% (30 of 36 open)60% (169 of 281 open)67% (94 of 141 open)62% (67 of 108 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −3 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won—48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—32% (won 5% of 159)1% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 43% of 119)30% (won 100% of 49)39% (won 100% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 61% of 70)62% (won 100% of 101)47% (won 100% of 108)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 95% of 142)8% (won 100% of 13)7% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $5.7KMavericks $68Timberwolves $53K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—76ers $3.1KRaptors $2176ers $33K
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $3.8KMavericks $6.4KMavericks $14K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Suns $634Hornets $1.8KHornets $17K
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Avalanche $250Senators $9.4KSenators $3.7K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $7.6KUnder $115
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $684Timberwolves $6Mavericks $7.1K
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $12Hornets $7.6KSuns $5
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $29476ers $3.1KRaptors $2.9K
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $597Under $1Over $4.9K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Sabres $143Blackhawks $3.3KBlackhawks $164
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $1.8KMaple Leafs $526Maple Leafs $715
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $277Wizards $2.0KPistons $28
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Under $1.0KOver $62
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $263Raptors $13276ers $204
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110Over $21Over $128
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $64Over $13Over $44
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $342Stars $10KStars $50K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $3.7KPistons $2.6KPistons $41K
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $620Hornets $3.6KHornets $2
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $263Canadiens $385Canadiens $160
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2Over $7Over $33
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Capitals
—Devils $69—Capitals $14K
Spread: Memphis (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis
——Memphis $98South Florida $12K
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Wizards $2.1KPistons $4.5K
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $2.7K—Pistons $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $12—76ers $5.8K
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $676Over $4.1K—
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $43Over $4.4K—
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $807—Wizards $3.5K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $744—Under $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $67—76ers $1.9K
Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
—Western Illinois Leathernecks $16Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K—
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Over $326
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $818—Over $173
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $823Over $51
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Timberwolves $757—Mavericks $31
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $670—Over $4
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys
—Oklahoma State Cowboys $114Texas A&M Aggies $382—
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Senators $316—Avalanche $9
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars
opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions
——South Alabama Jaguars $300Loyola Marymount Lions $3
Memphis vs. South Florida
opposite sides · consensus Memphis
——Memphis $179South Florida $109
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $95—Over $111
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Avalanche $23—Senators $149
Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
—UTEP Miners $99New Mexico State Aggies $3—
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $80—Over $16
Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisiana
——Louisiana-Monroe $35Louisiana $33
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki
opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki
—Joanna Garland $5—Olivia Gadecki $58
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Stars $16—Jets $13
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Over $24—