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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)92% (11–1, n=12)74% (1443–503, n=1946)53% (307–269, n=576)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$298K$308K
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #45PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus83% (30 of 36 open)61% (173 of 283 open)68% (105 of 154 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −3 pts, n=123—
Settled positions, side won—48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—32% (won 5% of 159)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 43% of 119)30% (won 100% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 61% of 70)62% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 95% of 142)8% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $3.8KMavericks $6.4K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $7.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $5.7KMavericks $68
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $43Over $4.4K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Sabres $143Blackhawks $3.3K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $29476ers $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—76ers $2.9KRaptors $21
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KUnder $1.1K
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $1.8KMaple Leafs $526
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $277Wizards $2.0K
Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
—Western Illinois Leathernecks $16Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K
Spread: UTEP Miners (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
—New Mexico State Aggies $79UTEP Miners $1.5K
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mercer Bears
—West Virginia Mountaineers $96Mercer Bears $1.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $684Timberwolves $6
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys
—Oklahoma State Cowboys $114Texas A&M Aggies $382
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $93Over $21
Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
—UTEP Miners $99New Mexico State Aggies $3
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $63Over $13
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams
—Rhode Island Rams $4Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $3.6KWizards $49K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KOver $48K
Raptors vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $1.5K76ers $37K
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $463Stars $10K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $7.5KTimberwolves $74
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $28Over $6.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $6Vikings $6.5K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.3KOver $332
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $2.5KPistons $2.6K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $45Under $4.3K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $2.8K
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $85Hornets $3.6K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $52
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $50Under $3.0K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $40Over $2.0K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4KOver $494
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $4
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $548Under $823
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $882Over $229
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7Under $1.0K
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Southern Illinois Salukis
—Southern Illinois Salukis $2Southern Illinois Salukis $1.0K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $708Over $15
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $263Canadiens $385
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $431Timberwolves $202
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $549Under $1
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies
same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies
—Texas A&M Aggies $446Texas A&M Aggies $43
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $244Raptors $132
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39Under $317