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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Cyclewin | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 74% (1443–503, n=1946) | 53% (307–269, n=576) | 46% (323–386, n=709) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $298K | $308K | $250K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #972 | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (170 of 283 open) | 67% (94 of 141 open) | 63% (67 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −3 pts, n=123 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 32% (won 5% of 159) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 15) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 24% (won 43% of 119) | 30% (won 100% of 49) | 39% (won 100% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 14% (won 61% of 70) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 47% (won 100% of 108) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 29% (won 95% of 142) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 7% (won 100% of 17) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
56 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Cyclewin | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $5.7K | Mavericks $68 | Timberwolves $53K |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | 76ers $3.1K | Raptors $21 | 76ers $33K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $3.8K | Mavericks $6.4K | Mavericks $14K |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Suns $634 | Hornets $1.8K | Hornets $16K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | Under $7.6K | Under $115 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Mavericks $684 | Timberwolves $6 | Mavericks $7.1K |
| Spread: Suns (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $12 | Hornets $7.6K | Suns $5 |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $294 | 76ers $3.1K | Raptors $2.9K |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $597 | Under $1 | Over $4.9K |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $662 | Over $4.1K | Under $4 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Sabres | — | Sabres $143 | Blackhawks $3.3K | Blackhawks $164 |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Wild $1.8K | Maple Leafs $526 | Maple Leafs $715 |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Lightning | — | Lightning $1.4K | Blue Jackets $81 | Blue Jackets $1.0K |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $277 | Wizards $2.0K | Pistons $28 |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Under $1.0K | Over $62 |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $263 | Raptors $132 | 76ers $204 |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $79 | Over $21 | Over $128 |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $64 | Over $13 | Over $44 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $3.4K | Pistons $2.6K | Pistons $42K |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $620 | Hornets $3.6K | Hornets $2 |
| Canadiens vs. Bruins same side · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $263 | Canadiens $385 | Canadiens $160 |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2 | Over $7 | Over $33 |
| Spread: Devils (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Capitals | — | Devils $69 | — | Capitals $14K |
| Spread: Memphis (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Memphis | — | — | Memphis $98 | South Florida $12K |
| Avalanche vs. Senators opposite sides · consensus Senators | — | Avalanche $627 | Senators $9.4K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $77 | — | Over $7.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | — | Wizards $2.1K | Pistons $4.5K |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $2.9K | — | Pistons $3.1K |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $12 | — | 76ers $5.8K |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $43 | Over $4.4K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Pistons $769 | — | Wizards $3.5K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $759 | — | Under $3.1K |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $46 | — | 76ers $1.9K |
| Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners | — | Western Illinois Leathernecks $16 | Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $818 | — | Over $173 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Timberwolves $946 | — | Mavericks $31 |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $823 | Over $51 |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $670 | — | Over $4 |
| Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys | — | Oklahoma State Cowboys $114 | Texas A&M Aggies $382 | — |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Senators | — | Senators $316 | — | Avalanche $9 |
| Loyola Marymount Lions vs. South Alabama Jaguars opposite sides · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions | — | — | South Alabama Jaguars $300 | Loyola Marymount Lions $3 |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend opposite sides · consensus Jay Dylan Friend | — | Yu-Hsiou Hsu $230 | — | Jay Dylan Friend $65 |
| Memphis vs. South Florida opposite sides · consensus Memphis | — | — | Memphis $179 | South Florida $109 |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $78 | — | Over $198 |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $95 | — | Over $111 |
| Spread: Senators (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Senators | — | Avalanche $23 | — | Senators $149 |
| Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners | — | UTEP Miners $99 | New Mexico State Aggies $3 | — |
| Spread: Louisiana (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisiana | — | — | Louisiana-Monroe $35 | Louisiana $33 |
| Spread: Stars (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Stars $16 | — | Jets $13 |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 211.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | Over $24 | — |