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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 52% (591–550, n=1141) | 47% (692–767, n=1459) |
| Consensus PnL | $770K | $6.4K | $385K | $865K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (16 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (92 of 149 open) | 61% (91 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 5% (won 100% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 34% (won 100% of 159) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 52% (won 100% of 243) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 9% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Colts (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $136K | — | Dolphins $6.9K | Colts $17K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | Titans $122K | — | Jaguars $4.3K | Jaguars $10K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $77K | — | 49ers $25K | 49ers $23K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $75K | — | Colts $2.4K | Dolphins $39K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $70K | — | Falcons $2.7K | Falcons $14 |
| Spread: Colts (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $6.9K | — | Dolphins $8 | Dolphins $2.7K |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Colts $272 | — | Dolphins $6.5K | Dolphins $531 |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $204K | — | Vikings $12K | Vikings $21K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $37K | — | Cowboys $2.3K | Cowboys $3.3K |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $1.3M | — | Saints $38K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $874K | — | — | Falcons $16K |
| Jaguars vs. Titans opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $138K | — | Jaguars $35K | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pacers $84K | — | 76ers $36K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $104K | — | Jaguars $11 | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $76K | — | — | Falcons $22K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $27K | — | Falcons $7.1K | — |
| Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.4K | Over $25K |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $8.8K | Over $7.1K |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | — | Raptors $2.3K | Knicks $9.4K |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | — | Rockets $267 | Wizards $8.0K |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | Pacers $5.3K | 76ers $2.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Bills $7.0K | Jets $190 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Spurs $6.6K | Jazz $502 |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Spurs $1.9K | Jazz $5.1K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 36.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $6.0K | Under $17 |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $496 | — | Packers $4.9K | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Hornets $2.3K | Clippers $2.8K |
| Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.8K | Over $3.3K |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers | — | — | Nebraska Cornhuskers $2.8K | Boise State Broncos $1.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $40 | — | — | Jaguars $3.8K |
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $2.3K | — | Packers $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $2.9K | Jets $319 |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.2K | Under $11 |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $170 | Under $3.0K |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | — | Hornets $465 | Clippers $2.6K |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | Pacers $93 | 76ers $2.0K |
| High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens | — | — | High Point Panthers $150 | Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K |
| Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals | — | — | Louisville Cardinals $140 | Memphis Tigers $1.3K |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $146 | Over $272 |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $73 | Under $132 |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | 76ers $16 | Pacers $182 |
| Colgate Raiders vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens opposite sides · consensus Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | — | — | Colgate Raiders $2 | Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens $5 |
| Harvard Crimson vs. American Eagles opposite sides · consensus Harvard Crimson | — | — | Harvard Crimson $2 | American Eagles $3 |
| Bills vs. Jets same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $29K | Bills $38K |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $52K | — | Cowboys $843 | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $18K | Spurs $26K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | — | Seahawks $20K | Seahawks $19K |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.8K | Under $24K |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks same side · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Oregon Ducks $19K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $11K | — | Vikings $7.8K | — |