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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)56% (61–47, n=108)52% (591–550, n=1141)47% (692–767, n=1459)
Consensus PnL$20K$770K$385K$865K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #10PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)53% (16 of 30 open)61% (91 of 149 open)63% (94 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—0%2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindBreakTheBankHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $132KDolphins $6.9KColts $17K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $122KJaguars $4.3KJaguars $10K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $78K49ers $25K49ers $23K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $75KColts $2.4KDolphins $39K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $71KFalcons $2.7KFalcons $14
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K—Jets $2.1KBills $1.7K
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $6.9KDolphins $8Dolphins $2.7K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $272Dolphins $6.5KDolphins $531
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $204KVikings $12KVikings $21K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $37KCowboys $2.3KCowboys $3.3K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $1.2MSaints $38K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $942K—Falcons $16K
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $151KJaguars $35K—
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $84K76ers $36K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $104KJaguars $11—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $76K—Falcons $22K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $27KFalcons $7.1K—
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.5KOver $25K
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $8.8KOver $7.1K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Raptors $2.3KKnicks $9.4K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
——Rockets $267Wizards $8.0K
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Panthers $5.1K——Saints $2.6K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $5.3K76ers $2.4K
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $7.0KJets $190
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $6.6KJazz $502
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $1.9KJazz $5.1K
Spread: Panthers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $5.2K——Saints $1.7K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 36.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.0KUnder $17
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $496Packers $4.9K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Hornets $2.3KClippers $2.8K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.8KOver $3.3K
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
——Nebraska Cornhuskers $2.8KBoise State Broncos $1.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $40—Jaguars $3.8K
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.9KJets $319
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.2KUnder $11
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $170Under $3.0K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $465Clippers $2.6K
Spread: Packers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $2.3KPackers $464—
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $9376ers $2.0K
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
——High Point Panthers $150Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
——Louisville Cardinals $140Memphis Tigers $1.3K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $146Over $272
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $73Under $132
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $16Pacers $182
Colgate Raiders vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
opposite sides · consensus Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
——Colgate Raiders $2Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens $5
Harvard Crimson vs. American Eagles
opposite sides · consensus American Eagles
——Harvard Crimson $2American Eagles $3
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $29KBills $38K
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $55KCowboys $843—
Spurs vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $18KSpurs $26K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19K