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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
95deBreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)58% (7–5, n=12)57% (28–21, n=49)74% (1443–503, n=1946)46% (323–386, n=709)
Consensus PnL-$469$758K$298K$250K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #2PM monthly #45PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (12 of 24 open)62% (172 of 277 open)61% (68 of 111 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=22, ROI +45%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −3 pts, n=123—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—0%32% (won 5% of 159)7% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢—48% (won 100% of 15)24% (won 43% of 119)39% (won 100% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—45% (won 100% of 14)14% (won 61% of 70)47% (won 100% of 108)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 95% of 142)7% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market95deBreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Raptors vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $126K76ers $1.6K76ers $182K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $134K76ers $81276ers $2.4K
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $31KRaptors $45076ers $1.9K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $23076ers $2.9K76ers $27K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $30KRaptors $1.1KRaptors $4.1K
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $111Raptors $1.2KRaptors $5.6K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $380K—Commanders $79K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $144K—Commanders $40K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $110K—76ers $38K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Giants $46K—Commanders $3.1K
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Capitals
——Devils $37Capitals $20K
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $3.8KMavericks $14K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Suns $620Hornets $17K
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5.5K—Under $7.3K
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Raptors $12276ers $5.8K
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $597Over $4.9K
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
——Avalanche $260Senators $3.7K
Hornets vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Suns $3.0KHornets $6
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Wild $1.8KMaple Leafs $715
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.0KUnder $115
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Timberwolves $757Mavericks $31
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 36.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $146—Under $565
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $679Over $4
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Raptors $26376ers $204
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $160Over $259
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
——Senators $316Avalanche $9
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
——Sabres $143Blackhawks $164
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $102Over $128
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
——Avalanche $23Senators $149
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $95Over $45
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $64Over $44
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $62
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki
opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki
——Joanna Garland $5Olivia Gadecki $58
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Stars $28Jets $13
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $5.7KTimberwolves $53K
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
——Stars $405Stars $50K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.7KOver $47K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $3.3KPistons $39K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
——Avalanche $151Avalanche $11K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Mavericks $684Mavericks $7.1K
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $1.1K76ers $5.3K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $302Over $6.1K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $910Over $5.2K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.6KOver $2.2K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.4KOver $987
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Wizards $3.3KWizards $826
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $2.5K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $294Raptors $2.9K
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $2.2K76ers $844
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $849Under $880