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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfe1AC268Ff0710dC220792689a5c7dC1f701A67f-1791058278212 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (11–0, n=11) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 54% (455–392, n=847) |
| Consensus PnL | $15K | $362K | $328K | $324K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #703 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #129 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (97 of 152 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 51% (76 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfe1AC268Ff0710dC220792689a5c7dC1f701A67f-1791058278212 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $14K | — | Over $2.4K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.7K | — | Over $6.2K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $4.0K | — | Heat $5.2K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.7K | — | Under $2.9K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $8.1K | — | Mavericks $78 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $3.8K | — | Arkansas $4.1K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.2K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.0K | — | Stanford $4.3K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $3.9K | — | Virginia Tech $1.3K |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $867 | — | Under $4.2K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $361 |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | — | Over $942 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | South Carolina $2.7K | — | Arkansas $1.0K |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | — | Wyoming $664 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $1.8K | — | UNLV $695 |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | — | Over $265 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | — | North Dakota State $378 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $531 | — | Stanford $877 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $850 | — | UNLV $227 |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | — | LSU $199 | — | Texas $653 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $199 | — | Heat $363 |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $8 | — | San Jose State $552 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 | — | Montana Grizzlies $170 |
| Rockets vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Wizards $22 | — | Rockets $78 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $83K | — | Grizzlies $70K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $25K | — | Grizzlies $33K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $9.1K | — | Bulls $31K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $9.1K | — | Nets $10K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $6.0K | — | Heat $11K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $16K | — | Nets $80 |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Utah | — | Utah $231 | — | Utah $14K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Patriots $6.1K | — | Patriots $6.1K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.7K | — | Over $7.1K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.4K | — | Under $1.7K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | — | Over $521 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $8.8K | — | Bulls $37 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $7.4K | — | Heat $915 |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | — | Flames $2.2K | — | Flames $6.1K |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $403 | — | Under $7.5K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.1K | — | Under $4.8K |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) same side · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $2.1K | — | North Carolina $5.7K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | — | Under $3.4K |
| Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $129 | — | Over $6.3K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) same side · consensus Texas | — | Texas $5.7K | — | Texas $230 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.1K | — | Under $290 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.6K | — | Under $63 |