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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 71% (2547–1041, n=3588) | 53% (494–432, n=926) | 54% (441–371, n=812) |
| Consensus PnL | $849 | $493K | $353K | $325K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #164 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #148 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 47% (86 of 182 open) | 66% (136 of 205 open) | 54% (104 of 192 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
61 on the same side, 74 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfda1fa1672697944f9e78479837fedac44e3416c | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $468 | Cavaliers $1.8K | Cavaliers $13K | Mavericks $143 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $6.2K | Pelicans $19K | Nuggets $378 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $13K | Cavaliers $6.5K | Mavericks $19 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $90 | Under $15K | Under $3.2K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $2.8K | Nets $11K |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $515 | Florida $2.0K | — | Florida $4.6K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $50 | Under $5.6K | Over $777 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $16 | Under $972 | Under $1.5K |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks opposite sides · consensus UAB Blazers | — | UAB Blazers $103 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $17 | UAB Blazers $1.1K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $637 | South Carolina $258 | Arkansas $12 |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | Under $647 | Over $76 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $3 | Nets $11 | Nets $579 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $91 | Under $5.0K | Under $66 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $116 | Bulls $1.2K | Bulls $835 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | — | Texas Tech $374 | Texas Tech $1.1K | Texas Tech $226 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $23 | Over $120 | Over $770 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $6.3K | — | Grizzlies $50K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | — | Canadiens $23K | Avalanche $6.8K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $357 | — | Nets $15K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $206 | Under $13K |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | — | — | Boise State $11K | Oregon State $2.4K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.7K | Over $6.2K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $6.2K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | — | South Carolina $7.4K | Arkansas $1.3K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $372 | Under $8.1K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Pelicans $6.2K | Nuggets $565 |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.9K | Over $2.1K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.7K | Over $3.3K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Stanford $4.1K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $3.8K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Pistons $106 | Heat $5.2K |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning opposite sides · consensus Lightning | — | — | Red Wings $1.3K | Lightning $3.7K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $10 | Cavaliers $4.8K | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $361 |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.8K | Under $2.6K |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | — | UTEP $1.8K | Wyoming $2.1K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.4K | Over $358 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF opposite sides · consensus Arizona State | — | — | Arizona State $3.0K | UCF $102 |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.4K | Over $461 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | — | UTEP $1.9K | Wyoming $664 |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.2K | Over $265 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | New Mexico $2.3K | UNLV $146 |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | — | San Francisco Dons $1.0K | Portland State Vikings $1.2K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | — | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $214 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $362 | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $1.9K | — | Nuggets $107 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $524 | Under $1.0K |