Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x99F6D49711a91C4DBd9e28c48a3508FAE92F37fc-1760627151725FlaznorpHomeRunHazardMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2619–1078, n=3697)53% (516–456, n=972)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL$0$482K$362K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #796PM monthly #11PM monthly #10PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (130 of 244 open)64% (105 of 163 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x99F6D49711a91C4DBd9e28c48a3508FAE92F37fc-1760627151725FlaznorpHomeRunHazardMD14
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $115Cavaliers $48KCavaliers $1.2K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 257.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $372—Under $46K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $6.9KBulls $9.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $2.2KCavaliers $13K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.5KNets $9.1K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.3KUnder $8.4K—
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $34Cavaliers $11K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $325Cavaliers $9.4K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KUnder $4.6K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $931Under $5.1K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $549—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Flyers $13Blue Jackets $796—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $239Over $405—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $393Pistons $199—
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
—Little Rock Trojans $4Northwestern State Demons $522—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $29Over $445—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11Under $452—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $231—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $241—
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $21North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $104Under $37—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $15—
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $4Pistons $9—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5Nets $8—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $919Grizzlies $25K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $155Cavaliers $15K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $31Under $14K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $2.4KCavaliers $8.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.2KBulls $8.8K—
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $914Cavaliers $8.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Heat $7.4K—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $686Cavaliers $6.7K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $549Cavaliers $6.2K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $627Heat $6.0K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.5KBulls $2.0K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $4.8K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KOver $1.2K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $241Over $4.7K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $238Under $2.9K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.4KCavaliers $311—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $227Under $910—
Devils vs. Capitals
same side · consensus Devils
—Capitals $75Capitals $894—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $382Over $91—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39Under $423—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $68Under $277—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets
same side · consensus Sacramento State Hornets
—Sacramento State Hornets $269Sacramento State Hornets $5—