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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 45% (14–17, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | $362K | $324K | $18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #129 | PM monthly #905 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 66% (100 of 152 open) | 51% (75 of 146 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 5) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 100% of 7) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
42 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $1.7K | Grizzlies $83K | Grizzlies $70K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $16K | Heat $6.0K | Heat $11K | — |
| Flames vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $4.1K | Flames $2.2K | Flames $6.1K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $14K | Over $2.4K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.7K | Over $6.2K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $4.0K | Heat $5.2K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.7K | Under $2.9K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $4.1K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.2K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Stanford $4.3K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Stanford $3.9K | Virginia Tech $1.3K | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $867 | Under $4.2K | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | Under $361 | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | Over $421 | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | South Carolina $2.7K | Arkansas $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | Wyoming $664 | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $1.8K | UNLV $695 | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | Over $265 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $531 | Stanford $877 | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $850 | UNLV $227 | — |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | — | LSU $199 | Texas $653 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $199 | Heat $363 | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $8 | San Jose State $552 | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 | Montana Grizzlies $170 | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Wizards $22 | Rockets $78 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $25K | Grizzlies $33K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $9.1K | Bulls $31K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $9.1K | Nets $10K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $16K | Nets $80 | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Utah | — | Utah $231 | Utah $14K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $7.5K | Nets $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Patriots $6.1K | Patriots $6.1K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.7K | Over $7.1K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.4K | Under $1.7K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | Over $521 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $8.8K | Bulls $37 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $7.4K | Heat $915 | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $403 | Under $7.5K | — |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.1K | Under $4.8K | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) same side · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $2.1K | North Carolina $5.7K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Under $3.4K | — |
| Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $129 | Over $6.3K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) same side · consensus Texas | — | Texas $5.7K | Texas $230 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.1K | Under $290 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.6K | Under $63 | — |
| Spread: Iowa (-17.5) same side · consensus Purdue | — | Iowa $88 | Iowa $4.5K | — |