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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | paintscrel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 53% (481–419, n=900) | 55% (433–356, n=789) | 0% (0–3, n=3) |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | $363K | $365K | -$4.6K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #137 | was PM monthly #954 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (147 of 229 open) | 56% (105 of 187 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 5) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 100% of 7) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
41 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | paintscrel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $32K | Washington $90K | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $174 | Under $15K | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | — | Boise State $10K | Oregon State $934 | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $6.1K | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $221 | Over $8.4K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $7.4K | Arkansas $740 | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia Southern $6.8K | Georgia State $208 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.6K | Over $784 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Stanford $4.4K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | Under $3.8K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $106 | Heat $5.2K | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | Under $369 | — |
| Boston College vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.6K | Over $2.0K | — |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.4K | Over $1 | — |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | Under $118 | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $866 | Virginia Tech $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.8K | USC $3 | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | Wyoming $656 | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | Over $273 | — |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | San Francisco Dons $1.0K | Portland State Vikings $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.8K | Wyoming $403 | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $218 | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF opposite sides · consensus Arizona State | — | Arizona State $1.8K | UCF $145 | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | North Dakota State $86 | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $529 | Under $931 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $522 | Stanford $877 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | Under $633 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $252 | Heat $782 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $665 | Under $289 | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | — | Georgia Southern $57 | Georgia State $843 | — |
| Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints | — | Siena Saints $520 | Brown Bears $222 | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $660 | Over $76 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus USC | — | Indiana $5 | USC $576 | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Air Force | — | San Jose State $251 | Air Force $318 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $210 | Heat $332 | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $292 | Under $17 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $258 | Arkansas $12 | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | — | Georgia Southern $2 | Georgia State $220 | — |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | — | Liberty $178 | Middle Tennessee $7 | — |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | — | Blackhawks $121 | Jets $8 | — |
| Appalachian State vs. Marshall: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.7K | Under $17K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $15K | Under $2.5K | — |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | — | Kansas $14K | Kansas $367 | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Washington (-3.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $12K | Michigan State $692 | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) same side · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $3.2K | North Carolina $8.4K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | Over $521 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $5.1K | Heat $3.2K | — |