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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)52% (16–15, n=31)53% (516–455, n=971)54% (452–389, n=841)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$795K$362K$322K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #267
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (141 of 214 open)55% (110 of 199 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

52 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $24KWashington $86K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $23KMavericks $149
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $21KNuggets $350
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $10KAvalanche $11K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $11KOver $4.8K
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $219Under $13K
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Boise State
——Boise State $11KOregon State $366
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $5.2KHeat $5.2K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $6.8KArkansas $3.0K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.6KUnder $5.0K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7.0KOver $590
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $6.5KNuggets $496
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.6KOver $3.5K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $5.9KMavericks $173
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.1KOver $1.8K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $1.5KStanford $4.3K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.0KOver $1.6K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.7KOver $1.6K
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $3.8K
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $4.8KMavericks $330
Red Wings vs. Lightning
opposite sides · consensus Lightning
——Red Wings $1.4KLightning $3.5K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.4KUnder $361
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $1.8KWyoming $2.2K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.4KOver $382
Arizona State vs. UCF
opposite sides · consensus Arizona State
——Arizona State $3.6KUCF $62
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $3.4KMavericks $218
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $831Virginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: New Mexico (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus UNLV
——New Mexico $2.7KUNLV $436
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $1.9KWyoming $664
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.0KOver $488
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.2KOver $265
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $524Under $1.7K
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Blues
——Panthers $1.5KBlues $210
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $572Under $1.2K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $1.4KNorth Dakota State $85
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $630Over $805
Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
——Virginia Tech $531Stanford $877
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $708Over $362
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
——LSU $189Texas $704
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $736UNLV $154
Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints
opposite sides · consensus Brown Bears
——Siena Saints $208Brown Bears $562
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks
——Jacksonville State Gamecocks $21UAB Blazers $689
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Air Force
——Air Force $4San Jose State $676
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $232Heat $332
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
——North Dakota Fighting Hawks $206Montana Grizzlies $218
Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $51Over $89
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $24KGrizzlies $29K
Appalachian State vs. Marshall: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.9KUnder $18K
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $18KOver $2.5K