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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)48% (513–552, n=1065)55% (394–322, n=716)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$546K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (155 of 321 open)65% (98 of 151 open)53% (95 of 178 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)6% (won 100% of 19)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)37% (won 100% of 126)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)50% (won 100% of 171)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 25)20% (won 98% of 118)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 59 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23Hurricanes $40KKraken $341
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397Miami (FL) $12KDuke $388
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.5KUnder $3.8KUnder $562
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3KUnder $291Over $4.4K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7KUnder $3.9KOver $76
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $257Over $3.5KUnder $414
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $13KUnder $2.8KUnder $322
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
same side · consensus Iowa State
—Cincinnati $7Cincinnati $251Cincinnati $218
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $42K
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $30KAlabama $3.5K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $45Mavericks $31K—
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $30K—
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
——Tennessee $25KTexas A&M $1.1K
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $25KOver $323
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $22KUnder $121
Spread: Tennessee (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
——Tennessee $22KTexas A&M $202
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.3K—Nets $16K
Will Poland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $12K—Yes $3.4K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6K—Yes $13K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $11KUnder $1.8K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $608Over $12K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Arkansas State $387Coastal Carolina $10K—
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.5KDenmark $6.2K—
Will Austria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.9K—Yes $516
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $540Under $5.2K
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.6KYes $80—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $4.5KStanford $53
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $3.6KVanderbilt $621
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.5KOver $3
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Avalanche $2.5KCanadiens $764
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
——Tulane $608Rice $2.2K
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $1.1K
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
——Miami (FL) $2.2KDuke $540
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $1.3K
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $518—Yes $2.1K
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
—George Mason Patriots $73Bradley Braves $2.2K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $186—Over $1.9K
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.6KOver $278
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $127Mavericks $1.4K—
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Denmark $669—Portugal $799
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $460Kentucky $940—
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $4Central Michigan Chippewas $1.3K—
Will Algeria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $88—
Knoxville: Clement Chidekh vs Michael Zheng
opposite sides · consensus Clement Chidekh
—Michael Zheng $987Clement Chidekh $204—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $958—Mavericks $120
Will Angola win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $912No $6—
Will UD Almería vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $758Yes $28—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $263—Oklahoma $507
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $12Hurricanes $741—
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $642Yes $34—