Knoxville: Clement Chidekh vs Michael Zheng

10 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold Clement Chidekh (77%) · Clement Chidekh at 52¢ · $12K held · ends Nov 21

Clement Chidekh52¢Michael Zheng48¢Ends Sat, Nov 21, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Clement Chidekh

Consensus Traders

Clement Chidekh 77%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$12.2K

Combined PnL

$435.16

Smart Money Entry

51.1¢ → 51.5¢

+1% since entry · 10 traders

Research grade

NeutralClement Chidekh at 52%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Clement Chidekh

10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Clement Chidekh52%

Michael Zheng49%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Clement Chidekh10 traders

Total Value$9.4K

Total Shares16,380

Combined PnL+$415.13

Michael Zheng3 traders

Total Value$420.55

Total Shares801

Combined PnL+$20.03

Clement Chidekh — 77%Michael Zheng — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888	Clement Chidekhavg 52.1¢	$4.7K	$4.4K	+$141.42	53% 1376-1196 (2572)
RN1	Clement Chidekhavg 49.8¢	$4.0K	$4.3K	+$260.02	55% 5380-4339 (9719)
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 50.1¢	$1.2K	$993.53	+$27.02	52% 833-779 (1612)
└ Clement Chidekh leg	Clement Chidekhavg 50.1¢	$691.52	$737.78	+$46.27
└ Michael Zheng leg	Michael Zhengavg 50¢	$275	$255.75	-$19.25
38 38791873984189ARB<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 51.4¢	$958.75	$993	+$34.25	48% 3231-3545 (6776)
└ Clement Chidekh leg	Clement Chidekhavg 51.4¢	$717.38	$746.33	+$28.95
└ Michael Zheng leg	Michael Zhengavg 45.5¢	$241.37	$246.68	+$5.31
MO mouzsynapse	Clement Chidekhavg 51¢	$480.96	$485.68	+$4.72	39% 121-186 (307)
FL FlaznorpCTR	Michael Zhengavg 45.9¢	$384.01	$404.34	+$20.34	49% 3867-4029 (7896)
0xheavy888ARB<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 53.7¢	$385.5	$396	+$10.5	54% 503-421 (924)
└ Clement Chidekh leg	Clement Chidekhavg 53.7¢	$295.5	$308	+$12.5
└ Michael Zheng leg	Michael Zhengavg 45¢	$90	$88	-$2
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 53¢	$72.49	$76.59	+$4.1	46% 497-591 (1088)
NM NM-P<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 55¢	$64.38	$65.59	+$1.21	59% 3772-2596 (6368)
EU Eulhunter<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 50.5¢	$50.5	$53.5	+$3	52% 194-178 (372)
poshposh<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 50¢	$16.24	$17.37	+$1.14	48% 1134-1214 (2348)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Michael Zhengavg 45¢	$13.95	$13.64	-$0.31	50% 1593-1619 (3212)
GL glennyorkshire<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 55¢	$10	$9	-$1	44% 164-206 (370)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 50.3¢	$7.55	$8.03	+$0.47	45% 381-474 (855)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100	Clement Chidekhavg 49¢	$4.61	$4.66	+$0.05	56% 4065-3175 (7240)
EF efntrickCTR<$100	Michael Zhengavg 44¢	$2.57	$2.57	+$0	44% 87-112 (199)

VeryLucky888

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$4,732.98

Value

$4.4K

PnL

+$141.42

Record

53%

1376-1196 (2572)

RN1

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$3,995.36

Value

$4.3K

PnL

+$260.02

Record

55%

5380-4339 (9719)

NotJumpARB<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$1,216.51

Value

$993.53

PnL

+$27.02

Record

52%

833-779 (1612)

Both legs:

Clement Chidekh$691.5250.1¢+$46.27

Michael Zheng$27550¢-$19.25

38791873984189ARB<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$958.75

Value

$993

PnL

+$34.25

Record

48%

3231-3545 (6776)

Both legs:

Clement Chidekh$717.3851.4¢+$28.95

Michael Zheng$241.3745.5¢+$5.31

mouzsynapse

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$480.96

Value

$485.68

PnL

+$4.72

Record

39%

121-186 (307)

FlaznorpCTR

Michael Zheng

Invested

$384.01

Value

$404.34

PnL

+$20.34

Record

49%

3867-4029 (7896)

0xheavy888ARB<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$385.5

Value

$396

PnL

+$10.5

Record

54%

503-421 (924)

Both legs:

Clement Chidekh$295.553.7¢+$12.5

Michael Zheng$9045¢-$2

omnibus-076daa<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$72.49

Value

$76.59

PnL

+$4.1

Record

46%

497-591 (1088)

NM-P<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$64.38

Value

$65.59

PnL

+$1.21

Record

59%

3772-2596 (6368)

Eulhunter<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$50.5

Value

$53.5

PnL

+$3

Record

52%

194-178 (372)

poshposh<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$16.24

Value

$17.37

PnL

+$1.14

Record

48%

1134-1214 (2348)

Pan9XCTR<$100

Michael Zheng

Invested

$13.95

Value

$13.64

PnL

-$0.31

Record

50%

1593-1619 (3212)

glennyorkshire<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$10

Value

PnL

-$1

Record

44%

164-206 (370)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$7.55

Value

$8.03

PnL

+$0.47

Record

45%

381-474 (855)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100

Clement Chidekh

Invested

$4.61

Value

$4.66

PnL

+$0.05

Record

56%

4065-3175 (7240)

efntrickCTR<$100

Michael Zheng

Invested

$2.57

Value

$2.57

PnL

+$0

Record

44%

87-112 (199)

Research grade

NeutralClement Chidekh at 52%

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

Clement Chidekh

10 of 13 top traders (77%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Clement Chidekh wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance53.7%

51.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$86.06

Max Loss

-$100.00

186.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.